Electrolyzer Cost - Revision history

Marcin: /* Hydrogen Production Cost 2030 */

2024-12-17T00:41:12Z

Hydrogen Production Cost 2030

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:41, 17 December 2024
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	*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], expected to be reached by 2030:		*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], expected to be reached by 2030:
	[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]		[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]
	*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.		*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost of 3.6 cents/kWhr in the study.
	*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg - prediction for real cost by 2030.		*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg - prediction for real cost by 2030.

Marcin: /* 2024 Cost */

2024-12-17T00:28:37Z

2024 Cost

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:28, 17 December 2024
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	*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg - prediction for real cost by 2030.		*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg - prediction for real cost by 2030.

	~~=2024 Cost=~~
	=2024 Cost=		=2024 Cost=
	*learning curve from 2020 to 2030 is halving of system cost from $1/W to $0.5/W"		*learning curve from 2020 to 2030 is halving of system cost from $1/W to $0.5/W"

Marcin: /* Hydrogen Production Cost */

2024-12-17T00:28:31Z

Hydrogen Production Cost

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:28, 17 December 2024
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	**20 year lifetime of electrolyzer		**20 year lifetime of electrolyzer
	**3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity.		**3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity.
	=Hydrogen Production Cost=		=Hydrogen Production Cost 2030=
	*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.		*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.
	*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], expected to be reached by 2030:		*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], expected to be reached by 2030:

Marcin: /* 2024 Cost */

2024-12-17T00:27:48Z

2024 Cost

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:27, 17 December 2024
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	*learning curve from 2020 to 2030 is halving of system cost from $1/W to $0.5/W"		*learning curve from 2020 to 2030 is halving of system cost from $1/W to $0.5/W"

	[[Image:learningcurve.png\|~~600px~~\|Electrolyzer cost decrease per Watt.]]		[[Image:learningcurve.png\|300px\|Electrolyzer cost decrease per Watt.]]

	*This makes cost/kg double the 40 cent fixed cost - 80 cents - plus 15 cents for electricity or 95 cents per kg.		*This makes cost/kg double the 40 cent fixed cost - 80 cents - plus 15 cents for electricity or 95 cents per kg.

Marcin: /* 2024 Cost */

2024-12-17T00:27:09Z

2024 Cost

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:27, 17 December 2024
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	=2024 Cost=		=2024 Cost=
			=2024 Cost=
			*learning curve from 2020 to 2030 is halving of system cost from $1/W to $0.5/W"

			[[Image:learningcurve.png\|600px\|Electrolyzer cost decrease per Watt.]]

			*This makes cost/kg double the 40 cent fixed cost - 80 cents - plus 15 cents for electricity or 95 cents per kg.

Marcin: /* Hydrogen Production Cost */

2024-12-17T00:21:05Z

Hydrogen Production Cost

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:21, 17 December 2024
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	=Hydrogen Production Cost=		=Hydrogen Production Cost=
	*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.		*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.
	*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.]:		*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], expected to be reached by 2030:
	[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]		[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]
	*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.		*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.
	*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.		*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg - prediction for real cost by 2030.

			=2024 Cost=

Marcin: /* Hydrogen Production Cost */

2024-12-17T00:19:17Z

Hydrogen Production Cost

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:19, 17 December 2024
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	=Hydrogen Production Cost=		=Hydrogen Production Cost=
	*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.		*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.
	*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen:		*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.]:
	[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]		[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]
	*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.		*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.
	*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.		*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.

Marcin: /* Hydrogen Production Cost */

2024-12-17T00:18:26Z

Hydrogen Production Cost

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:18, 17 December 2024
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	**3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity.		**3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity.
	=Hydrogen Production Cost=		=Hydrogen Production Cost=
	*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gasoline ~~gallon~~ equivalent.		*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.
	*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen:		*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen:
	[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]		[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]
	*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.		*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.
	*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.		*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.

Marcin at 00:18, 17 December 2024

2024-12-17T00:18:13Z

Marcin at 00:16, 17 December 2024

2024-12-17T00:16:30Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:16, 17 December 2024
Line 11:		Line 11:
	[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]		[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]
	*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.		*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.
	*Thus, total ~~cost~~ is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents = 65 cents/kg.		*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.

← Older revision		Revision as of 00:18, 17 December 2024
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	*Cost of alkaline, PEM, and oxide Fuel to Gas - [https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2023/ee/d3ee01208e]. From Guntherglenk.com. Prediction is $1.6/kg by 2030. DOE target is $1/kg - [https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2023/ee/d3ee01208e]		*Cost of alkaline, PEM, and oxide Fuel to Gas - [https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2023/ee/d3ee01208e]. From Guntherglenk.com. Prediction is $1.6/kg by 2030. DOE target is $1/kg - [https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2023/ee/d3ee01208e]
	**15% cost decrease for doubling of electrolyzer capacity		**15% cost decrease for doubling of electrolyzer capacity
	*~~Cost per kg~~ [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], x axis is kW installed capacity:		=Electrolyzer System Cost=

			*System cost: [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], x axis is kW installed capacity:

	[[Image:electrolyzercost.png\|600px\|Learning curve indicates 16% cost reduction per capacity doubling. X axis is in kW installed capacity.]]		[[Image:electrolyzercost.png\|600px\|Learning curve indicates 16% cost reduction per capacity doubling. X axis is in kW installed capacity.]]
	**20 year lifetime of electrolyzer		**20 year lifetime of electrolyzer
	**3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity.		**3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity.
			=Hydrogen Production Cost=
			*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gasoline gallon equivalent.
	*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen:		*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen:
	[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]		[[Image:kgcost.png\|600px\|Cost per kg]]
	*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.		*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost in the study.
	*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.		*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg.