COVID Peak: Difference between revisions

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=Model Curves=
=Model Curves=
*This is fascinating - extreme lockdown results in severe cases popping up. The second half of graph shows the results when the lockdown is lifted by September (after 5 months), but much later in the year - after near complete stop of cases?
*This is fascinating - extreme lockdown results in severe cases popping up. The second half of graph shows the results when the lockdown is lifted by September (after 5 months): hell will break loose again. This graph shows a warning on the 12+ month duration that is required until a vaccine is developed.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/coronavirus-projections-us/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/coronavirus-projections-us/

Revision as of 17:49, 22 March 2020

Timelines

Model Curves

  • This is fascinating - extreme lockdown results in severe cases popping up. The second half of graph shows the results when the lockdown is lifted by September (after 5 months): hell will break loose again. This graph shows a warning on the 12+ month duration that is required until a vaccine is developed.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/coronavirus-projections-us/

Cases.jpeg

As of March 22, 2020

  • UK - Happening in 3 months - [1]
  • Italy - March 23-25 - [2]
  • China - Peak March 13 after discovery in December. [3]
  • New York - 45 days from now - [4]