Ukraine War Calculations: Difference between revisions
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*How does Patriot compare to S400? S400 is apparently half the cost, and looks much better on paper. [https://news.cgtn.com/news/2019-10-10/A-comparison-of-Russia-s-S-400-against-U-S-Patriot-sales-KG9wapLDFu/index.html] | *How does Patriot compare to S400? S400 is apparently half the cost, and looks much better on paper. [https://news.cgtn.com/news/2019-10-10/A-comparison-of-Russia-s-S-400-against-U-S-Patriot-sales-KG9wapLDFu/index.html] | ||
*Patriots - too expensive and complicated for now? [https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/patriot-missiles-aren%E2%80%99t-answer-ukrainian-air-defense-197556] | *Patriots - too expensive and complicated for now? [https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/patriot-missiles-aren%E2%80%99t-answer-ukrainian-air-defense-197556] | ||
*Flood of man-portable antiarmor [https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/44595/shipments-of-anti-armor-missiles-are-flowing-to-ukraine-heres-whats-in-them] | |||
=Needs= | =Needs= | ||
Revision as of 08:11, 28 March 2022
Numbers
- Russian Economy - Russia is 11th at 1.6T. [1]. SA is #1 at about 10x that, $20T. Ukraine is $110B.
- Military spending - USA 800B, Russia 60B [2]
- Military population - Ukraine 200k, with 900k reserves [3]. Infographic - [4]. Ukraine has 1M, Russia 3M, but Russia has 1M active. [5]
- What does Ukrainian army cosist of at end fo March? 300k active duty, 150k have been called from reserves [6]
- March 21, 22 - Europe provides $1.1B in military aid. [7]
- UK sends another 6k antiarmor/plane missiles to Ukraine by March 23 [8]
- By March 12, 17k antiarmor missiles [9], 300 Javelins at least. 2000 more are coming? [10]
- 45k Javelins and 12k of their launchers have so far been produced, 18+ countries have them [11]. 70k Stingers were made - [12]. 10k NLAWs were made.
- Stingers and NLAWs are $38k. [13]. Javelin - $100k launcher, $78k missile. [14]
- Patriot missiles - system is $1B, missile is $1-6M a pop. [15]
- How equipment is moved from US based to Ukraine - [16]
Feeding Russia
- 40% of Russia's economy is energy crops [17]
- About $500M payments per day come from Europe - $19B in one month. This is because Europe takes about 50% of Russia's petro product
- Same source sez - These countries should have no interest in allowing the price of oil to rise too high, because that will sharply accelerate the long-term transition to renewable energy.
- Total export of Russian oil is about 5M barrels/day - [18]. Saudis can produce 2.2M more barrels per day within a month.
- US imported 700k barrels/day from Russia- or about $70M/day. [19]
Strategy
- How does a Stinger compare to a Patriot?
- How does Patriot compare to a Buk?
- How does Patriot compare to S400? S400 is apparently half the cost, and looks much better on paper. [20]
- Patriots - too expensive and complicated for now? [21]
- Flood of man-portable antiarmor [22]