Ukraine War Calculations: Difference between revisions
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*Stop funding Russia's business (petrochemicals, currently $500M/day from EU alone) | *Stop funding Russia's business (petrochemicals, currently $500M/day from EU alone) | ||
*Flood of arms support | *Flood of arms support | ||
*Weeks, months, or years - it's our choice - [https://www.rochester.edu/newscenter/how-to-end-the-ukraine-war-514522/] | *Weeks, months, or years - it's our choice - [https://www.rochester.edu/newscenter/how-to-end-the-ukraine-war-514522/]. No solution provided, outside of decision of troops to quit. | ||
=Needs= | =Needs= | ||
Revision as of 08:37, 28 March 2022
Numbers
- Russian Economy - Russia is 11th at 1.6T. [1]. SA is #1 at about 10x that, $20T. Ukraine is $110B.
- Military spending - USA 800B, Russia 60B [2]
- Military population - Ukraine 200k, with 900k reserves [3]. Infographic - [4]. Ukraine has 1M, Russia 3M, but Russia has 1M active. [5]
- What does Ukrainian army cosist of at end fo March? 300k active duty, 150k have been called from reserves [6]
- March 21, 22 - Europe provides $1.1B in military aid. [7]
- UK sends another 6k antiarmor/plane missiles to Ukraine by March 23 [8]
- By March 12, 17k antiarmor missiles [9], 300 Javelins at least. 2000 more are coming? [10]
- 45k Javelins and 12k of their launchers have so far been produced, 18+ countries have them [11]. 70k Stingers were made - [12]. 10k NLAWs were made.
- Stingers and NLAWs are $38k. [13]. Javelin - $100k launcher, $78k missile. [14]
- Patriot missiles - system is $1B, missile is $1-6M a pop. [15]
- How equipment is moved from US based to Ukraine - [16]
Feeding Russia
- 40% of Russia's economy is energy crops [17]
- About $500M payments per day come from Europe - $19B in one month. This is because Europe takes about 50% of Russia's petro product
- Same source sez - These countries should have no interest in allowing the price of oil to rise too high, because that will sharply accelerate the long-term transition to renewable energy.
- Total export of Russian oil is about 5M barrels/day - [18]. Saudis can produce 2.2M more barrels per day within a month.
- US imported 700k barrels/day from Russia- or about $70M/day. [19]
Weapons Strategy
- How does a Stinger compare to a Patriot?
- How does Patriot compare to a Buk?
- How does Patriot compare to S400? S400 is apparently half the cost, and looks much better on paper. [20]
- Patriots - too expensive and complicated for now? [21]
- Flood of man-portable antiarmor [22]
- RPG-7 is the most common antitank rocket, multipurpose including low flying helicopters - [23]
Integrated Strategy
- Stop funding Russia's business (petrochemicals, currently $500M/day from EU alone)
- Flood of arms support
- Weeks, months, or years - it's our choice - [24]. No solution provided, outside of decision of troops to quit.