Electrolyzer Cost: Difference between revisions
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*$500-1000/kW [https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALeKk026QG9BbsZl0rNsBS9KmerMgczY_w%3A1602863734253&source=hp&ei=dsKJX6q8DJDYsAXHkpG4Cw&q=the+cost+of+alkaline+electrolyzers+review+paper&btnK=Google+Search&oq=how+to+configure+nvidia+geforce+gtx+1650+super+on+linux+mint&gs_lcp=CgZwc3ktYWIQAzIFCCEQoAEyBQghEKsCMgUIIRCrAjoOCAAQ6gIQtAIQmgEQ5QI6DgguELEDEMcBEKMCEJMCOggILhDHARCvAToLCC4QsQMQxwEQowI6CAgAELEDEIMBOggILhCxAxCDAToFCAAQsQM6AggAOgQIABAKOgYIABAWEB46CAghEBYQHRAeOgcIIRAKEKABUMsQWOmzAWD8tAFoBnAAeACAAeQGiAGhS5IBDTExLjQ3LjMuMi42LTGYAQCgAQGqAQdnd3Mtd2l6sAEG&sclient=psy-ab&ved=0ahUKEwiqz4DcvLnsAhUQLKwKHUdJBLcQ4dUDCAk&uact=5] | *$500-1000/kW [https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALeKk026QG9BbsZl0rNsBS9KmerMgczY_w%3A1602863734253&source=hp&ei=dsKJX6q8DJDYsAXHkpG4Cw&q=the+cost+of+alkaline+electrolyzers+review+paper&btnK=Google+Search&oq=how+to+configure+nvidia+geforce+gtx+1650+super+on+linux+mint&gs_lcp=CgZwc3ktYWIQAzIFCCEQoAEyBQghEKsCMgUIIRCrAjoOCAAQ6gIQtAIQmgEQ5QI6DgguELEDEMcBEKMCEJMCOggILhDHARCvAToLCC4QsQMQxwEQowI6CAgAELEDEIMBOggILhCxAxCDAToFCAAQsQM6AggAOgQIABAKOgYIABAWEB46CAghEBYQHRAeOgcIIRAKEKABUMsQWOmzAWD8tAFoBnAAeACAAeQGiAGhS5IBDTExLjQ3LjMuMi42LTGYAQCgAQGqAQdnd3Mtd2l6sAEG&sclient=psy-ab&ved=0ahUKEwiqz4DcvLnsAhUQLKwKHUdJBLcQ4dUDCAk&uact=5] | ||
*MIT CEEPR report 2023 - [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.]. Has author emails. | *MIT CEEPR report 2023 - [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.]. Has author emails. | ||
*Cost of alkaline, PEM, and oxide Fuel to Gas - [https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2023/ee/d3ee01208e]. From Guntherglenk.com. Prediction is $1.6/kg by 2030. | *Cost of alkaline, PEM, and oxide Fuel to Gas - [https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2023/ee/d3ee01208e]. From Guntherglenk.com. Prediction is $1.6/kg by 2030. DOE target is $1/kg - [https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2023/ee/d3ee01208e] | ||
**15% cost decrease for doubling of electrolyzer capacity | |||
=Electrolyzer System Cost= | |||
*System cost: [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], x axis is kW installed capacity: | |||
[[Image:electrolyzercost.png|600px|Learning curve indicates 16% cost reduction per capacity doubling. X axis is in kW installed capacity.]] | |||
**20 year lifetime of electrolyzer | |||
**3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity. | |||
=Hydrogen Production Cost 2030= | |||
*{{check}}Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent. | |||
*Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [https://ceepr.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/MIT-CEEPR-WP-2023-09.pdf#:~:text=Alkaline%20electrolyzers%20currently%20exhibit%20the%20highest%20cumulative,(Figure%201a%E2%80%93c%2C%20details%20in%20Supplementary%20Note%201).&text=Table%201%20provides%20the%20resulting%20estimates%2C%20with,for%20PEM%2C%20and%2072.8%%20for%20SOC%20electrolysis.], expected to be reached by 2030: | |||
[[Image:kgcost.png|600px|Cost per kg]] | |||
*Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost of 3.6 cents/kWhr in the study. | |||
*Thus, total [[Levelized Cost]] is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg - prediction for real cost by 2030. | |||
=2024 Cost= | |||
*learning curve from 2020 to 2030 is halving of system cost from $1/W to $0.5/W" | |||
[[Image:learningcurve.png|300px|Electrolyzer cost decrease per Watt.]] | |||
*This makes cost/kg double the 40 cent fixed cost - 80 cents - plus 15 cents for electricity or 95 cents per kg. |
Latest revision as of 00:41, 17 December 2024
- $500-1000/kW [1]
- MIT CEEPR report 2023 - [2]. Has author emails.
- Cost of alkaline, PEM, and oxide Fuel to Gas - [3]. From Guntherglenk.com. Prediction is $1.6/kg by 2030. DOE target is $1/kg - [4]
- 15% cost decrease for doubling of electrolyzer capacity
Electrolyzer System Cost
- System cost: [5], x axis is kW installed capacity:
- 20 year lifetime of electrolyzer
- 3.6 cent electricity cost for wholesale electricity.
Hydrogen Production Cost 2030
Take a kg - which is a gallon gasoline equivalent.
- Hydrogen production cost involves 70-90% electricity cost. Result is the following cost per kg hydrogen [6], expected to be reached by 2030:
- Thus, look at 20 cent/kw PV panels. 30 year life. $200 cost for 65700 kWhrs. This is 0.3 cents/kWhr - 10x lower than the electricity cost of 3.6 cents/kWhr in the study.
- Thus, total Levelized Cost is (fixed + capacity) of 40 cents + 15 cents for variable costs (electricity) = 65 cents/kg - prediction for real cost by 2030.
2024 Cost
- learning curve from 2020 to 2030 is halving of system cost from $1/W to $0.5/W"
- This makes cost/kg double the 40 cent fixed cost - 80 cents - plus 15 cents for electricity or 95 cents per kg.