Induction-Grade Automation: Difference between revisions

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If a system cannot automatically generate dimensional drawings, BOMs, and executable build instructions from a single source of truth, it is not induction-grade.
If a system cannot automatically generate dimensional drawings, BOMs, and executable build instructions from a single source of truth, it is not induction-grade.
=Budget + Revenue=
== Assumptions (Explicit, Locked) ==
* Cohort model: '''6 EFI builders + 12 CEI participants'''
* EFI duration: 6 months @ $15,000 / participant
* CEI duration: 3 months @ $4,000 / participant
* FBCC: 10-day orientation @ $2,400 / participant
* Build model: ~1 house / month with 6 full-time builders
* Net contribution per completed house: ~$100,000 (after materials & direct costs)
* No hard presales assumed (open market sales)
* Timeline: Feb 1 registration → May 1 start → 6 months operation
----
== Revenue Summary (6 + 12 Scenario) ==
{| class="wikitable"
! Revenue Source !! Unit Count !! Unit Price !! Gross Revenue
|-
| Enterprise Formation Induction (EFI) || 6 || $15,000 || $90,000
|-
| Civilization Engineering Induction (CEI) || 12 || $4,000 || $48,000
|-
| Future Builder Crash Course (FBCC) || 12 (conservative) || $2,400 || $28,800
|-
| House builds (net contribution) || 6 houses (6 months) || ~$100,000 || ~$600,000
|-
| '''Total Gross Revenue (6 months)''' ||  ||  || '''~$766,800'''
|}
''Note: House revenue is back-loaded and lumpy; tuition revenue is front-loaded and acts as bridge capital.''
----
== Cost Summary ==
=== A. One-Time / Capital Costs ===
{| class="wikitable"
! Category !! Cost Range !! Notes
|-
| Drywall + insulation (9,000 SF building) || $100k–150k || Assumes moderate partition density
|-
| Initial tooling / setup || $20k–30k || Tools, fixtures, consumables
|-
| '''Subtotal – Capital''' || '''$120k–180k''' || One-time
|}
=== B. Pre–May 1 Staffing & Prep (≈ 2.5 months) ===
{| class="wikitable"
! Role !! Cost Range
|-
| Canonical Scribe || $15k–20k
|-
| Induction Ops Lead || $12k–18k
|-
| Build Systems Lead (ramp) || $15k–20k
|-
| Facilitators (prep) || $3k–5k
|-
| '''Subtotal – Pre-May Staffing''' || '''$45k–65k'''
|}
=== C. Post–May 1 Operations (6 Months) ===
{| class="wikitable"
! Category !! Monthly Cost !! 6-Month Cost
|-
| Ops staffing (site manager, cooks, instructors, facilitators) || $30k–40k || $180k–240k
|-
| Food (ingredients only) || $4k–6k || $24k–36k
|-
| Utilities, maintenance, consumables || $3k–5k || $18k–30k
|-
| Insurance, compliance, misc ops || $2k–3k || $12k–18k
|-
| '''Subtotal – 6-Month Ops''' ||  || '''$234k–324k'''
|}
----
== Total Cost vs Revenue (6-Month Window) ==
{| class="wikitable"
! Category !! Amount
|-
| Total Revenue (incl. houses) || ~$766,800
|-
| Total Costs (low) || ~$399,000
|-
| Total Costs (high) || ~$569,000
|-
| '''Net Margin (range)''' || '''~$200k – $370k'''
|}
----
== Cash-Flow Reality (Critical Notes) ==
* Tuition revenue (EFI + CEI + FBCC): '''~$167,000''' — early, reliable
* House net revenue (~$600k): late and lumpy
* Capital buildout must be funded before first house sale
* Liquidity risk exists until House #1 closes
----
== Bottom-Line Interpretation ==
* The '''6 + 12 model works economically''' over 6 months
* It is '''tight but viable''' without presales
* Survival hinges on:
** maintaining ~1 house/month velocity
** controlling ops burn
** not expanding headcount early
* This configuration proves the model without founder heroics
----
== One-Sentence Truth ==
''The 6-builder + 12-CEI configuration is economically sound if houses are treated as the real business and tuition is treated as bridge capital, not the core revenue.''


=Budget=
=Budget=

Revision as of 11:37, 20 January 2026

About

About hiring and transitioning from founder to institution without becoming institutionalized.

OSE is transitioning from a founder-centric system to an institution-centric system without bureaucratizing intelligence or slowing innovation. That is the problem most organizations fail to solve.

https://chatgpt.com/share/696f4e61-3734-8010-92fd-3fecbcf54df3

For May 1, 2026 - we need to set up process.

If a system cannot automatically generate dimensional drawings, BOMs, and executable build instructions from a single source of truth, it is not induction-grade.

Budget + Revenue

Assumptions (Explicit, Locked)

  • Cohort model: 6 EFI builders + 12 CEI participants
  • EFI duration: 6 months @ $15,000 / participant
  • CEI duration: 3 months @ $4,000 / participant
  • FBCC: 10-day orientation @ $2,400 / participant
  • Build model: ~1 house / month with 6 full-time builders
  • Net contribution per completed house: ~$100,000 (after materials & direct costs)
  • No hard presales assumed (open market sales)
  • Timeline: Feb 1 registration → May 1 start → 6 months operation

Revenue Summary (6 + 12 Scenario)

Revenue Source Unit Count Unit Price Gross Revenue
Enterprise Formation Induction (EFI) 6 $15,000 $90,000
Civilization Engineering Induction (CEI) 12 $4,000 $48,000
Future Builder Crash Course (FBCC) 12 (conservative) $2,400 $28,800
House builds (net contribution) 6 houses (6 months) ~$100,000 ~$600,000
Total Gross Revenue (6 months) ~$766,800

Note: House revenue is back-loaded and lumpy; tuition revenue is front-loaded and acts as bridge capital.

Cost Summary

A. One-Time / Capital Costs

Category Cost Range Notes
Drywall + insulation (9,000 SF building) $100k–150k Assumes moderate partition density
Initial tooling / setup $20k–30k Tools, fixtures, consumables
Subtotal – Capital $120k–180k One-time

B. Pre–May 1 Staffing & Prep (≈ 2.5 months)

Role Cost Range
Canonical Scribe $15k–20k
Induction Ops Lead $12k–18k
Build Systems Lead (ramp) $15k–20k
Facilitators (prep) $3k–5k
Subtotal – Pre-May Staffing $45k–65k

C. Post–May 1 Operations (6 Months)

Category Monthly Cost 6-Month Cost
Ops staffing (site manager, cooks, instructors, facilitators) $30k–40k $180k–240k
Food (ingredients only) $4k–6k $24k–36k
Utilities, maintenance, consumables $3k–5k $18k–30k
Insurance, compliance, misc ops $2k–3k $12k–18k
Subtotal – 6-Month Ops $234k–324k

Total Cost vs Revenue (6-Month Window)

Category Amount
Total Revenue (incl. houses) ~$766,800
Total Costs (low) ~$399,000
Total Costs (high) ~$569,000
Net Margin (range) ~$200k – $370k

Cash-Flow Reality (Critical Notes)

  • Tuition revenue (EFI + CEI + FBCC): ~$167,000 — early, reliable
  • House net revenue (~$600k): late and lumpy
  • Capital buildout must be funded before first house sale
  • Liquidity risk exists until House #1 closes

Bottom-Line Interpretation

  • The 6 + 12 model works economically over 6 months
  • It is tight but viable without presales
  • Survival hinges on:
    • maintaining ~1 house/month velocity
    • controlling ops burn
    • not expanding headcount early
  • This configuration proves the model without founder heroics

One-Sentence Truth

The 6-builder + 12-CEI configuration is economically sound if houses are treated as the real business and tuition is treated as bridge capital, not the core revenue.


Budget

Hire (Role) Start (Target) FTE Monthly Cost (Est.) Primary Function
Canonical Scribe (Systems Scribe) Now / ASAP 1.0 $6k–8k Freeze canon: standards, protocols, definitions; eliminate ambiguity; publish single source of truth
Induction Ops Lead (Program Ops) ~2 weeks after Scribe (by mid-Feb) 0.75–1.0 $5k–7k Run registration/onboarding/scheduling; enforce no-DM policy; handle participant flow for FBCC/CEI/EFI
Build Systems Lead By early March 1.0 $7k–9k Own May 1 performance proof: expertise-embedded workflows, sequencing, measurement, facilitator playbooks
Facilitators (2–3 part-time) By mid-April (2–3 weeks pre–May 1) PT $2k–4k Run floor flow during FBCC/Swarm Build; coordinate groups (facilitation, not supervision)

Pre–May 1 Budget Summary (Estimated)

Category Assumption Cost Range
Staffing burn (pre–May 1) ~2.5 months avg (scribe + ops + build lead ramp + facilitators late) $50k–$75k
Operating reserve / contingency Materials, tooling, travel, overruns $10k–$25k
Total Pre–May 1 Budget staffing + contingency $60k–$100k

9000 SF Building: Drywall + Insulation Cost (Concept Estimate)

Buildout Density Surface Area (SF) Combined Drywall + Insulation Range
Open / minimal partitions (2x) ~18,000 $70k–$100k
Moderate partitions (3x) ~27,000 $105k–$150k
Dense partitions (4x) ~36,000 $140k–$200k

Operations Staffing (Post–May 1, 6-Month Runway)

Role FTE Monthly Cost (Est.) 6-Month Cost Function
Site Manager 1.0 $5k–7k $30k–42k Day-to-day site ops, safety, facilities, schedules, vendor coordination
Lead Cook / Kitchen Manager 1.0 $4k–5k $24k–30k Meal planning, food procurement, daily meals for participants/staff
Assistant Cook 0.5 $2k–2.5k $12k–15k Prep, cleanup, coverage, scale-up support
Instructors / Facilitators (core) 2.0 $4k–6k each $48k–72k Teach modules, guide builds, enforce standards (not supervision)
Part-time / visiting instructors PT $2k–3k $12k–18k Specialized topics, surge capacity

Operations Cost Summary (6 Months After May 1)

Category Cost Range
Ops staffing (6 months) $126k–177k
Food (ingredients only, ~30–40 people) $4–6k / month → $24k–36k
Utilities, consumables, maintenance $3–5k / month → $18k–30k
Insurance, compliance, misc ops $2–3k / month → $12k–18k
Total 6-Month Ops Budget $180k–260k

Full Budget Snapshot (Through 6 Months Post–May 1)

Phase Cost Range
Pre–May 1 (staff + contingency) $60k–100k
Building drywall + insulation (one-time) $70k–200k
Post–May 1 ops (6 months) $180k–260k
Total Program Capital Required $310k–560k

90-Day Induction Rollout Gantt (Now → May 1)

Phase 1: Canonical Foundation (Weeks 1–2)

Task Owner Output Founder Involvement
Define canonical claim (apprenticeship → induction) You + CES 1-page Canonical Statement High (decisions only)
Define supervision vs facilitation standard You + CES Written protocol High
Define performance proof criteria (speed, quality) You + BSL Metrics definition High
Draft Induction glossary (terms locked) CES Canonical glossary Low
Kill ambiguous language (training, apprenticeship) CES Language audit None

Critical dependency: No recruiting or marketing before this is locked.

---

Phase 2: FFCC Architecture & Content (Weeks 2–4)

Task Owner Output Founder Involvement
FFCC syllabus (online) IPL Week-long structure Review only
Record 2–3 core talks (vision, induction) You Video assets Medium (time-boxed)
Design FFCC written assignments IPL + CES Filtering mechanism None
Define routing rubric (Commons / CET / EFT) CES Decision matrix Low
Set no-DM / public Q&A policy IPL Governance doc None

Goal: FFCC can run without you live.

---

Phase 3: Swarm Build Systemization (Weeks 3–6)

Task Owner Output Founder Involvement
Select May 1 build scope BSL Defined build target Review
Break build into expertise-embedded modules BSL Modular workflow Review
Define facilitator role (not supervisor) CES Role spec Low
Create build-time measurement protocol BSL Timing + QA checklist Review
Dry-run build flow internally BSL + Facilitators Rehearsal data None

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