FBA Budget 2026: Difference between revisions

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(Created page with "= OSE Low-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months) = '''Assumptions''' * 24 Enterprise participants @ $10k * House production at 50% rate → ~2.5 houses in 6 months * Net margin per house: $100k * Cabin cost: $2,750 per person * Lean staff only (“Mode A: Bootstrap Civilization”) * Site Operations corrected to $32k {| class="wikitable" ! Section !! Category !! Calculation !! Amount |- | rowspan="5" | '''Revenue''' | House Builds || 2.5 × $100,000 || $2...")
 
 
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=Risk Mitigation - Home Builds=
Best case build from [[Future Builders Crash Course]] - (very complete at end of crash course):
{| class="wikitable"
|+ '''Best-Case Post–Crash Course House Completion (24 Crew, 2 Build Days/Week, 8 hrs/day, No Inspections)'''
! Phase
! Scope
! Labor (hrs)
! Calendar Time (weeks)
! Notes
|-
| Disassembly, Transport, Set, Tie-Down, Leveling, Weatherproofing Repairs
| Final separation (if any), loading/hauling, setting in place, anchoring, leveling, resealing joints, flashing, roof/wall patching
| 80–120
| 0.2–0.3
| Assumes minimal transport damage and standardized foundation/interface details
|-
| Utility Hookups / Service Gear (Simplified)
| Electrical service tie-in, grounding, panel hookup, minimal plumbing or off-grid connections
| 40–80
| 0.1–0.2
| No permitting or inspection delays; materials pre-staged
|-
| Interior Finish Completion & Corrections
| Minor drywall/paint touch-ups, trim corrections, hardware tightening, surface sealing
| 60–120
| 0.2–0.3
| House exits crash course at ~90–95% finish quality
|-
| Code-Related Items (Even If Not Inspected)
| Smoke/CO alarms, GFCI/AFCI devices, handrails/guards, egress hardware, labeling
| 20–40
| 0.05–0.1
| Simple retrofits with pre-kitted components
|-
| Site Items
| Steps/landing, skirting, minor grading, splash control, threshold sealing
| 30–60
| 0.1–0.2
| Standard site conditions; no major earthwork
|-
| Punch List & Buyer-Ready Detailing
| Caulking, paint touch-ups, door/window adjustments, cleaning, final detailing
| 20–40
| 0.05–0.1
| One-pass punch list; limited rework
|-
| '''TOTAL'''
| End-of-transport to sale-ready
| '''250–400'''
| '''0.65–1.05 weeks'''
| 384 labor-hrs/week production capacity
|}
==Gantt for Home Completion==
Note finish work at final site starts as soon as first section is dropped off. Assumes 1 hour travel time to site.
(source - [https://chatgpt.com/share/69691146-0b48-8010-8667-aa2e33c854b7])
[[File:cribbing.png]]
= OSE High-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months) =
(source - [https://chatgpt.com/share/69690549-e534-8010-a6f3-c9d62bead64e])
'''Assumptions'''
* 50 Enterprise participants @ $10k 
* Full production rate → ~1 house every 4 weeks ≈ 6 houses in 6 months 
* Net margin per house: $100k 
* Builder Crash Course: 24 participants @ $2k 
* Trial Track: 25 participants @ $6k 
* Cabin cost: $2,000 per person (50 cabins) 
* Full staffing model (education, construction, site ops, admin) 
* Infrastructure buildout: Rapid Learning Facility, Hangar, New Housing 
{| class="wikitable"
! Section !! Category !! Calculation !! Amount
|-
| rowspan="6" | '''Revenue'''
| House Builds || 6 × $100,000 || $600,000
|-
| Enterprise Track || 50 × $10,000 || $500,000
|-
| Builder Crash Course || 24 × $2,000 || $48,000
|-
| Trial Track || 25 × $6,000 || $150,000
|-
| Other / Workshops / Events || Estimate || $50,000
|-
| '''Total Revenue''' ||  || '''$1,348,000'''
|-
| rowspan="10" | '''Costs'''
| Staffing (Full Team) || Ops, build, education, admin || $420,000
|-
| Rapid Learning Facility || Fixed || $50,000
|-
| Hangar Completion || Fixed || $50,000
|-
| New Housing || Fixed || $50,000
|-
| Cabins || 50 × $2,000 || $100,000
|-
| Site Operations || Food, utilities, waste, logistics || $120,000
|-
| Curriculum & Systems || Kits, documentation, program design || $75,000
|-
| Tools & Equipment || Fabrication, construction, maintenance || $60,000
|-
| Insurance, Legal, Compliance || Fixed || $25,000
|-
| Marketing & Recruiting || Media, campaigns, onboarding || $40,000
|-
| colspan="3" | '''Total Costs''' || '''$940,000'''
|-
| rowspan="3" | '''Net Result'''
| Total Revenue ||  || $1,348,000
|-
| Total Costs ||  || $940,000
|-
| '''Net Surplus (6 months)''' ||  || '''+$408,000'''
|}
= OSE Low-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months) =
= OSE Low-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months) =



Latest revision as of 16:25, 15 January 2026

Risk Mitigation - Home Builds

Best case build from Future Builders Crash Course - (very complete at end of crash course):

Best-Case Post–Crash Course House Completion (24 Crew, 2 Build Days/Week, 8 hrs/day, No Inspections)
Phase Scope Labor (hrs) Calendar Time (weeks) Notes
Disassembly, Transport, Set, Tie-Down, Leveling, Weatherproofing Repairs Final separation (if any), loading/hauling, setting in place, anchoring, leveling, resealing joints, flashing, roof/wall patching 80–120 0.2–0.3 Assumes minimal transport damage and standardized foundation/interface details
Utility Hookups / Service Gear (Simplified) Electrical service tie-in, grounding, panel hookup, minimal plumbing or off-grid connections 40–80 0.1–0.2 No permitting or inspection delays; materials pre-staged
Interior Finish Completion & Corrections Minor drywall/paint touch-ups, trim corrections, hardware tightening, surface sealing 60–120 0.2–0.3 House exits crash course at ~90–95% finish quality
Code-Related Items (Even If Not Inspected) Smoke/CO alarms, GFCI/AFCI devices, handrails/guards, egress hardware, labeling 20–40 0.05–0.1 Simple retrofits with pre-kitted components
Site Items Steps/landing, skirting, minor grading, splash control, threshold sealing 30–60 0.1–0.2 Standard site conditions; no major earthwork
Punch List & Buyer-Ready Detailing Caulking, paint touch-ups, door/window adjustments, cleaning, final detailing 20–40 0.05–0.1 One-pass punch list; limited rework
TOTAL End-of-transport to sale-ready 250–400 0.65–1.05 weeks 384 labor-hrs/week production capacity

Gantt for Home Completion

Note finish work at final site starts as soon as first section is dropped off. Assumes 1 hour travel time to site.

(source - [1])

Cribbing.png

OSE High-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months)

(source - [2])

Assumptions

  • 50 Enterprise participants @ $10k
  • Full production rate → ~1 house every 4 weeks ≈ 6 houses in 6 months
  • Net margin per house: $100k
  • Builder Crash Course: 24 participants @ $2k
  • Trial Track: 25 participants @ $6k
  • Cabin cost: $2,000 per person (50 cabins)
  • Full staffing model (education, construction, site ops, admin)
  • Infrastructure buildout: Rapid Learning Facility, Hangar, New Housing
Section Category Calculation Amount
Revenue House Builds 6 × $100,000 $600,000
Enterprise Track 50 × $10,000 $500,000
Builder Crash Course 24 × $2,000 $48,000
Trial Track 25 × $6,000 $150,000
Other / Workshops / Events Estimate $50,000
Total Revenue $1,348,000
Costs Staffing (Full Team) Ops, build, education, admin $420,000
Rapid Learning Facility Fixed $50,000
Hangar Completion Fixed $50,000
New Housing Fixed $50,000
Cabins 50 × $2,000 $100,000
Site Operations Food, utilities, waste, logistics $120,000
Curriculum & Systems Kits, documentation, program design $75,000
Tools & Equipment Fabrication, construction, maintenance $60,000
Insurance, Legal, Compliance Fixed $25,000
Marketing & Recruiting Media, campaigns, onboarding $40,000
Total Costs $940,000
Net Result Total Revenue $1,348,000
Total Costs $940,000
Net Surplus (6 months) +$408,000

OSE Low-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months)

Assumptions

  • 24 Enterprise participants @ $10k
  • House production at 50% rate → ~2.5 houses in 6 months
  • Net margin per house: $100k
  • Cabin cost: $2,750 per person
  • Lean staff only (“Mode A: Bootstrap Civilization”)
  • Site Operations corrected to $32k
Section Category Calculation Amount
Revenue House Builds 2.5 × $100,000 $250,000
Enterprise Track 24 × $10,000 $240,000
Builder Crash Course 24 × $2,000 $48,000
Trial Track 12 × $6,000 $72,000
Total Revenue $610,000
Costs Staffing (Lean Core) Core leadership + minimal admin $192,500
Rapid Learning Facility Fixed $50,000
Hangar Completion Fixed $50,000
New Housing Fixed $50,000
Cabins 24 × $2,750 $66,000
Site Operations Food, utilities, waste, logistics $32,000
Curriculum & Systems Kits, documentation, program design $45,000
Total Costs $485,500
Net Result Total Revenue $610,000
Total Costs $485,500
Net Surplus (6 months) +$124,500