FBA Budget 2026: Difference between revisions

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=Risk Mitigation - Home Builds=
=Risk Mitigation - Home Builds=


Best case finish scenario - {| class="wikitable"
|+ '''Best-Case Post–Crash Course House Completion (24 Crew, 2 Build Days/Week, No Inspections)'''
! Phase
! Scope
! Labor (hrs)
! Calendar Time (weeks)
! Notes
|-
| Disassembly, Transport, Set, Tie-Down, Leveling, Weatherproofing Repairs
| Final separation (if any), loading/hauling, setting in place, anchoring, leveling, resealing joints, flashing, roof/wall patching
| 80–120
| 0.5–1.0
| Assumes minimal transport damage and standardized foundation/interface details
|-
| Utility Hookups / Service Gear (Simplified)
| Electrical service tie-in, grounding, panel hookup, minimal plumbing or off-grid connections
| 40–80
| 0.3–0.8
| No permitting or inspection delays; materials pre-staged
|-
| Interior Finish Completion & Corrections
| Minor drywall/paint touch-ups, trim corrections, hardware tightening, surface sealing
| 60–120
| 0.5–1.5
| House exits crash course at ~90–95% finish quality
|-
| Code-Related Items (Even If Not Inspected)
| Smoke/CO alarms, GFCI/AFCI devices, handrails/guards, egress hardware, labeling
| 20–40
| 0.2–0.5
| Simple retrofits with pre-kitted components
|-
| Site Items
| Steps/landing, skirting, minor grading, splash control, threshold sealing
| 30–60
| 0.3–0.8
| Standard site conditions; no major earthwork
|-
| Punch List & Buyer-Ready Detailing
| Caulking, paint touch-ups, door/window adjustments, cleaning, final detailing
| 20–40
| 0.2–0.5
| One-pass punch list; limited rework
|-
| '''TOTAL'''
| End-of-transport to sale-ready
| '''250–400'''
| '''~2–4 weeks'''
| Best-case outcome driven by high completeness at transport and standardized systems
|}


= OSE High-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months) =
= OSE High-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months) =

Revision as of 15:29, 15 January 2026

Risk Mitigation - Home Builds

Best case finish scenario - {| class="wikitable" |+ Best-Case Post–Crash Course House Completion (24 Crew, 2 Build Days/Week, No Inspections) ! Phase ! Scope ! Labor (hrs) ! Calendar Time (weeks) ! Notes |- | Disassembly, Transport, Set, Tie-Down, Leveling, Weatherproofing Repairs | Final separation (if any), loading/hauling, setting in place, anchoring, leveling, resealing joints, flashing, roof/wall patching | 80–120 | 0.5–1.0 | Assumes minimal transport damage and standardized foundation/interface details |- | Utility Hookups / Service Gear (Simplified) | Electrical service tie-in, grounding, panel hookup, minimal plumbing or off-grid connections | 40–80 | 0.3–0.8 | No permitting or inspection delays; materials pre-staged |- | Interior Finish Completion & Corrections | Minor drywall/paint touch-ups, trim corrections, hardware tightening, surface sealing | 60–120 | 0.5–1.5 | House exits crash course at ~90–95% finish quality |- | Code-Related Items (Even If Not Inspected) | Smoke/CO alarms, GFCI/AFCI devices, handrails/guards, egress hardware, labeling | 20–40 | 0.2–0.5 | Simple retrofits with pre-kitted components |- | Site Items | Steps/landing, skirting, minor grading, splash control, threshold sealing | 30–60 | 0.3–0.8 | Standard site conditions; no major earthwork |- | Punch List & Buyer-Ready Detailing | Caulking, paint touch-ups, door/window adjustments, cleaning, final detailing | 20–40 | 0.2–0.5 | One-pass punch list; limited rework |- | TOTAL | End-of-transport to sale-ready | 250–400 | ~2–4 weeks | Best-case outcome driven by high completeness at transport and standardized systems |}

OSE High-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months)

(source - [1])

Assumptions

  • 50 Enterprise participants @ $10k
  • Full production rate → ~1 house every 4 weeks ≈ 6 houses in 6 months
  • Net margin per house: $100k
  • Builder Crash Course: 24 participants @ $2k
  • Trial Track: 25 participants @ $6k
  • Cabin cost: $2,000 per person (50 cabins)
  • Full staffing model (education, construction, site ops, admin)
  • Infrastructure buildout: Rapid Learning Facility, Hangar, New Housing
Section Category Calculation Amount
Revenue House Builds 6 × $100,000 $600,000
Enterprise Track 50 × $10,000 $500,000
Builder Crash Course 24 × $2,000 $48,000
Trial Track 25 × $6,000 $150,000
Other / Workshops / Events Estimate $50,000
Total Revenue $1,348,000
Costs Staffing (Full Team) Ops, build, education, admin $420,000
Rapid Learning Facility Fixed $50,000
Hangar Completion Fixed $50,000
New Housing Fixed $50,000
Cabins 50 × $2,000 $100,000
Site Operations Food, utilities, waste, logistics $120,000
Curriculum & Systems Kits, documentation, program design $75,000
Tools & Equipment Fabrication, construction, maintenance $60,000
Insurance, Legal, Compliance Fixed $25,000
Marketing & Recruiting Media, campaigns, onboarding $40,000
Total Costs $940,000
Net Result Total Revenue $1,348,000
Total Costs $940,000
Net Surplus (6 months) +$408,000

OSE Low-Enrollment Financial Scenario (6 Months)

Assumptions

  • 24 Enterprise participants @ $10k
  • House production at 50% rate → ~2.5 houses in 6 months
  • Net margin per house: $100k
  • Cabin cost: $2,750 per person
  • Lean staff only (“Mode A: Bootstrap Civilization”)
  • Site Operations corrected to $32k
Section Category Calculation Amount
Revenue House Builds 2.5 × $100,000 $250,000
Enterprise Track 24 × $10,000 $240,000
Builder Crash Course 24 × $2,000 $48,000
Trial Track 12 × $6,000 $72,000
Total Revenue $610,000
Costs Staffing (Lean Core) Core leadership + minimal admin $192,500
Rapid Learning Facility Fixed $50,000
Hangar Completion Fixed $50,000
New Housing Fixed $50,000
Cabins 24 × $2,750 $66,000
Site Operations Food, utilities, waste, logistics $32,000
Curriculum & Systems Kits, documentation, program design $45,000
Total Costs $485,500
Net Result Total Revenue $610,000
Total Costs $485,500
Net Surplus (6 months) +$124,500