Induction-Grade Automation: Difference between revisions
(→Budget) |
(→About) |
||
| Line 9: | Line 9: | ||
If a system cannot automatically generate dimensional drawings, BOMs, and executable build instructions from a single source of truth, it is not induction-grade. | If a system cannot automatically generate dimensional drawings, BOMs, and executable build instructions from a single source of truth, it is not induction-grade. | ||
=Tasks - RLF Rapid Learning Modules= | |||
=Budget + Revenue= | =Budget + Revenue= | ||
Revision as of 12:14, 20 January 2026
About
About hiring and transitioning from founder to institution without becoming institutionalized.
OSE is transitioning from a founder-centric system to an institution-centric system without bureaucratizing intelligence or slowing innovation. That is the problem most organizations fail to solve.
https://chatgpt.com/share/696f4e61-3734-8010-92fd-3fecbcf54df3
For May 1, 2026 - we need to set up process.
If a system cannot automatically generate dimensional drawings, BOMs, and executable build instructions from a single source of truth, it is not induction-grade.
Tasks - RLF Rapid Learning Modules
Budget + Revenue
Assumptions (Explicit, Locked)
- Cohort model: 6 EFI builders + 12 CEI participants
- EFI duration: 6 months @ $15,000 / participant
- CEI duration: 3 months @ $4,000 / participant
- FBCC: 10-day orientation @ $2,400 / participant
- Build model: ~1 house / month with 6 full-time builders
- Net contribution per completed house: ~$100,000 (after materials & direct costs)
- No hard presales assumed (open market sales)
- Timeline: Feb 1 registration → May 1 start → 6 months operation
Revenue Summary (6 + 12 Scenario)
| Revenue Source | Unit Count | Unit Price | Gross Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise Formation Induction (EFI) | 6 | $15,000 | $90,000 |
| Civilization Engineering Induction (CEI) | 12 | $4,000 | $48,000 |
| Future Builder Crash Course (FBCC) | 12 (conservative) | $2,400 | $28,800 |
| House builds (net contribution) | 6 houses (6 months) | ~$100,000 | ~$600,000 |
| Total Gross Revenue (6 months) | ~$766,800 |
Note: House revenue is back-loaded and lumpy; tuition revenue is front-loaded and acts as bridge capital.
Cost Summary
A. One-Time / Capital Costs
| Category | Cost Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Drywall + insulation (9,000 SF building) | $100k–150k | Assumes moderate partition density |
| Initial tooling / setup | $20k–30k | Tools, fixtures, consumables |
| Subtotal – Capital | $120k–180k | One-time |
B. Pre–May 1 Staffing & Prep (≈ 2.5 months)
| Role | Cost Range |
|---|---|
| Canonical Scribe | $15k–20k |
| Induction Ops Lead | $12k–18k |
| Build Systems Lead (ramp) | $15k–20k |
| Facilitators (prep) | $3k–5k |
| Subtotal – Pre-May Staffing | $45k–65k |
C. Post–May 1 Operations (6 Months)
| Category | Monthly Cost | 6-Month Cost |
|---|---|---|
| Ops staffing (site manager, cooks, instructors, facilitators) | $30k–40k | $180k–240k |
| Food (ingredients only) | $4k–6k | $24k–36k |
| Utilities, maintenance, consumables | $3k–5k | $18k–30k |
| Insurance, compliance, misc ops | $2k–3k | $12k–18k |
| Subtotal – 6-Month Ops | $234k–324k |
Total Cost vs Revenue (6-Month Window)
| Category | Amount |
|---|---|
| Total Revenue (incl. houses) | ~$766,800 |
| Total Costs (low) | ~$399,000 |
| Total Costs (high) | ~$569,000 |
| Net Margin (range) | ~$200k – $370k |
Cash-Flow Reality (Critical Notes)
- Tuition revenue (EFI + CEI + FBCC): ~$167,000 — early, reliable
- House net revenue (~$600k): late and lumpy
- Capital buildout must be funded before first house sale
- Liquidity risk exists until House #1 closes
Bottom-Line Interpretation
- The 6 + 12 model works economically over 6 months
- It is tight but viable without presales
- Survival hinges on:
- maintaining ~1 house/month velocity
- controlling ops burn
- not expanding headcount early
- This configuration proves the model without founder heroics
One-Sentence Truth
The 6-builder + 12-CEI configuration is economically sound if houses are treated as the real business and tuition is treated as bridge capital, not the core revenue.
Budget
| Hire (Role) | Start (Target) | FTE | Monthly Cost (Est.) | Primary Function |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canonical Scribe (Systems Scribe) | Now / ASAP | 1.0 | $6k–8k | Freeze canon: standards, protocols, definitions; eliminate ambiguity; publish single source of truth |
| Induction Ops Lead (Program Ops) | ~2 weeks after Scribe (by mid-Feb) | 0.75–1.0 | $5k–7k | Run registration/onboarding/scheduling; enforce no-DM policy; handle participant flow for FBCC/CEI/EFI |
| Build Systems Lead | By early March | 1.0 | $7k–9k | Own May 1 performance proof: expertise-embedded workflows, sequencing, measurement, facilitator playbooks |
| Facilitators (2–3 part-time) | By mid-April (2–3 weeks pre–May 1) | PT | $2k–4k | Run floor flow during FBCC/Swarm Build; coordinate groups (facilitation, not supervision) |
Pre–May 1 Budget Summary (Estimated)
| Category | Assumption | Cost Range |
|---|---|---|
| Staffing burn (pre–May 1) | ~2.5 months avg (scribe + ops + build lead ramp + facilitators late) | $50k–$75k |
| Operating reserve / contingency | Materials, tooling, travel, overruns | $10k–$25k |
| Total Pre–May 1 Budget | staffing + contingency | $60k–$100k |
9000 SF Building: Drywall + Insulation Cost (Concept Estimate)
| Buildout Density | Surface Area (SF) | Combined Drywall + Insulation Range |
|---|---|---|
| Open / minimal partitions (2x) | ~18,000 | $70k–$100k |
| Moderate partitions (3x) | ~27,000 | $105k–$150k |
| Dense partitions (4x) | ~36,000 | $140k–$200k |
Operations Staffing (Post–May 1, 6-Month Runway)
| Role | FTE | Monthly Cost (Est.) | 6-Month Cost | Function |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Site Manager | 1.0 | $5k–7k | $30k–42k | Day-to-day site ops, safety, facilities, schedules, vendor coordination |
| Lead Cook / Kitchen Manager | 1.0 | $4k–5k | $24k–30k | Meal planning, food procurement, daily meals for participants/staff |
| Assistant Cook | 0.5 | $2k–2.5k | $12k–15k | Prep, cleanup, coverage, scale-up support |
| Instructors / Facilitators (core) | 2.0 | $4k–6k each | $48k–72k | Teach modules, guide builds, enforce standards (not supervision) |
| Part-time / visiting instructors | PT | $2k–3k | $12k–18k | Specialized topics, surge capacity |
Operations Cost Summary (6 Months After May 1)
| Category | Cost Range |
|---|---|
| Ops staffing (6 months) | $126k–177k |
| Food (ingredients only, ~30–40 people) | $4–6k / month → $24k–36k |
| Utilities, consumables, maintenance | $3–5k / month → $18k–30k |
| Insurance, compliance, misc ops | $2–3k / month → $12k–18k |
| Total 6-Month Ops Budget | $180k–260k |
Full Budget Snapshot (Through 6 Months Post–May 1)
| Phase | Cost Range |
|---|---|
| Pre–May 1 (staff + contingency) | $60k–100k |
| Building drywall + insulation (one-time) | $70k–200k |
| Post–May 1 ops (6 months) | $180k–260k |
| Total Program Capital Required | $310k–560k |
90-Day Induction Rollout Gantt (Now → May 1)
Phase 1: Canonical Foundation (Weeks 1–2)
| Task | Owner | Output | Founder Involvement |
|---|---|---|---|
| Define canonical claim (apprenticeship → induction) | You + CES | 1-page Canonical Statement | High (decisions only) |
| Define supervision vs facilitation standard | You + CES | Written protocol | High |
| Define performance proof criteria (speed, quality) | You + BSL | Metrics definition | High |
| Draft Induction glossary (terms locked) | CES | Canonical glossary | Low |
| Kill ambiguous language (training, apprenticeship) | CES | Language audit | None |
Critical dependency: No recruiting or marketing before this is locked.
---
Phase 2: FFCC Architecture & Content (Weeks 2–4)
| Task | Owner | Output | Founder Involvement |
|---|---|---|---|
| FFCC syllabus (online) | IPL | Week-long structure | Review only |
| Record 2–3 core talks (vision, induction) | You | Video assets | Medium (time-boxed) |
| Design FFCC written assignments | IPL + CES | Filtering mechanism | None |
| Define routing rubric (Commons / CET / EFT) | CES | Decision matrix | Low |
| Set no-DM / public Q&A policy | IPL | Governance doc | None |
Goal: FFCC can run without you live.
---
Phase 3: Swarm Build Systemization (Weeks 3–6)
| Task | Owner | Output | Founder Involvement |
|---|---|---|---|
| Select May 1 build scope | BSL | Defined build target | Review |
| Break build into expertise-embedded modules | BSL | Modular workflow | Review |
| Define facilitator role (not supervisor) | CES | Role spec | Low |
| Create build-time measurement protocol | BSL | Timing + QA checklist | Review |
| Dry-run build flow internally | BSL + Facilitators | Rehearsal data | None |
T