10000 Factor

Formal Statement

Within any realistic civilizational planning horizon, accessible renewable energy flux (10000x more than civilization uses today) is so large relative to present human use that the practical bottleneck shifts away from absolute energy availability and toward infrastructure, circularity design, and social organization. This also eliminates the red herring of peak oil, allowing humanity to focus on creating a better world for everyone based on renewable energy.

Discussion

There is 10,000 times more power than comes from the sun than society uses today, even in its somewhat wasteful way of doing things.

The more accurate figure is about 9000 - the number of hours in a year. Every hour, the earth receives as much energy from the sun as it uses per year. [1].

This has profound implications for the index of possibility in terms of guaranteed prosperity and abundance. See also 1000 Factor.

This concept is highly unfathomable to most people. But it indeed means that all the energy that ever came to the earth from the sun to grow the plants that created fossil fuels - is captured by the surface of the earth every 8 days or so! Stop, become Numerate to appreciate this concept deeply, and cheer up for possibility and forthcoming paradise on earth. If we only choose to do so.

See also -