COVID Peak

Timelines

• https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-pandemic-timeline-history-major-events-2020-3
• https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

Model Curves

• This is fascinating - extreme lockdown results in severe cases popping up. The second half of graph shows the results when the lockdown is lifted by September (after 5 months): hell will break loose again. This graph shows a warning on the 12+ month duration that is required until a vaccine is developed.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/coronavirus-projections-us/

As of March 22, 2020

• UK - Happening in 3 months - [1]
• Italy - March 23-25 - [2]
• China - Peak March 13 after discovery in December. [3]
• New York - 45 days from now - [4]