Geopolitical Thinkers
Geopolitical Schools Ranked by Alignment with Open Source Ecology (Top 50)
| Rank (OSE Alignment) | School | Core Idea | Top Thinkers (3) | Video 1 | Video 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Distributed Civilization Systems | Civilization built through open collaboration networks | Elinor Ostrom; Buckminster Fuller; Marcin Jakubowski | Ostrom – Governing the Commons lecture | Fuller – World Game / Design Science lecture |
| 2 | Infrastructure Geopolitics | Infrastructure networks determine global power | Parag Khanna; Deborah Cowen; Bent Flyvbjerg | Khanna – Connectography talk | Khanna – Mapping Geopolitical Megatrends podcast |
| 3 | Network Civilization | Power flows through networks instead of states | Manuel Castells; Albert-László Barabási; Parag Khanna | Castells – Network Society lecture | Barabási – Network science talk |
| 4 | Commons Governance | Shared resources governed collectively | Elinor Ostrom; David Bollier; Michel Bauwens | Ostrom – Nobel lecture | Bauwens – P2P civilization talk |
| 5 | Regenerative Civilization | Economy aligned with ecosystem regeneration | John Fullerton; Kate Raworth; Donella Meadows | Raworth – Doughnut economics talk | Fullerton – Regenerative economy talk |
| 6 | Technological Abundance | Technology reduces scarcity | Buckminster Fuller; Peter Diamandis; Ray Kurzweil | Fuller – Operating Manual for Spaceship Earth | Diamandis – Abundance talk |
| 7 | Open Technology Civilization | Open hardware accelerates innovation | Eric von Hippel; Marcin Jakubowski; Neil Gershenfeld | Gershenfeld – How to Make Almost Anything | von Hippel – Democratizing Innovation talk |
| 8 | Distributed Manufacturing | Local digital fabrication networks | Neil Gershenfeld; Hod Lipson; Adrian Bowyer | Gershenfeld – Fab Labs lecture | Bowyer – RepRap project talk |
| 9 | Ecological Economics | Economy embedded within ecosystems | Herman Daly; Kate Raworth; Tim Jackson | Daly – Steady state economy lecture | Raworth – Doughnut economics keynote |
| 10 | Solar Civilization | Renewable energy reshapes geopolitics | Vaclav Smil; Amory Lovins; Tony Seba | Smil – Energy transitions lecture | Seba – Clean disruption talk |
| 11 | Bioregional Geopolitics | Politics aligned with ecosystems | Kirkpatrick Sale; Gary Snyder; Peter Berg | Sale – Bioregionalism talk | Snyder – Ecology and civilization lecture |
| 12 | Circular Economy | Closed-loop material flows | Walter Stahel; Ellen MacArthur; Ken Webster | MacArthur – Circular economy talk | Stahel – Performance economy lecture |
| 13 | Human Flourishing Theory | Geopolitics focused on human wellbeing | Amartya Sen; Martha Nussbaum; Jeffrey Sachs | Sen – Development as freedom talk | Sachs – Sustainable development lecture |
| 14 | Resilience Geopolitics | Distributed systems resist shocks | Nassim Taleb; Brian Walker; Fikret Berkes | Taleb – Antifragile lecture | Walker – Resilience thinking talk |
| 15 | Supply Chain Geopolitics | Logistics networks determine power | Deborah Cowen; Marc Levinson; Peter Zeihan | Cowen – Logistics revolution talk | Zeihan – Global supply chain lecture |
| 16 | Urban Network Geopolitics | Cities rival states | Saskia Sassen; Richard Florida; Edward Glaeser | Sassen – Global cities lecture | Florida – Rise of the creative class talk |
| 17 | Technological Geopolitics | Industrial innovation shapes power | Vaclav Smil; Carlota Perez; Mariana Mazzucato | Perez – Tech revolutions lecture | Mazzucato – Entrepreneurial state talk |
| 18 | Energy Systems Geopolitics | Energy systems determine alliances | Daniel Yergin; Vaclav Smil; Fatih Birol | Yergin – Energy geopolitics talk | Birol – Energy transition keynote |
| 19 | Geoeconomics | Economic leverage replaces war | Edward Luttwak; Ian Bremmer; Robert Blackwill | Bremmer – G-Zero world talk | Luttwak – Geoeconomics lecture |
| 20 | Institutional Liberalism | Institutions enable cooperation | Joseph Nye; Robert Keohane; Anne-Marie Slaughter | Nye – Soft power lecture | Slaughter – Networked governance talk |
| 21 | Soft Power Geopolitics | Cultural attraction shapes influence | Joseph Nye; Fareed Zakaria; Ian Bremmer | Nye – Future of power talk | Zakaria – Global order lecture |
| 22 | Complex Systems Geopolitics | Global systems behave non-linearly | Donella Meadows; Yaneer Bar-Yam; Geoffrey West | Meadows – Systems thinking lecture | West – Scaling laws talk |
| 23 | Demographic Geopolitics | Population structures shape power | Peter Zeihan; Nicholas Eberstadt; Jack Goldstone | Zeihan – Demography lecture | Eberstadt – Population collapse talk |
| 24 | Geographic Determinism | Geography shapes strategic options | Halford Mackinder; Nicholas Spykman; Robert Kaplan | Kaplan – Geopolitics in the 21st century | Kaplan – Revenge of geography talk |
| 25 | Sea Power School | Naval dominance shapes history | Alfred Thayer Mahan; Nicholas Lambert; James Holmes | Holmes – Sea power lecture | Mahan theory overview lecture |
| 26 | Realism | States pursue survival and power | Hans Morgenthau; John Mearsheimer; Stephen Walt | Mearsheimer – Great power politics lecture | Walt – Realism lecture |
| 27 | Neorealism | System structure shapes state behavior | Kenneth Waltz; John Mearsheimer; Robert Jervis | Mearsheimer – U.S. grand strategy talk | Jervis – Security dilemma lecture |
| 28 | Balance of Power | Alliance systems prevent dominance | Henry Kissinger; Kenneth Waltz; Hedley Bull | Kissinger – World order talk | Bull – International society lecture |
| 29 | Civilizational Geopolitics | Civilizations shape conflicts | Samuel Huntington; Arnold Toynbee; Oswald Spengler | Huntington – Clash of civilizations talk | Toynbee – History lecture |
| 30 | World Systems Theory | Core-periphery global economy | Immanuel Wallerstein; Giovanni Arrighi; Samir Amin | Wallerstein – World system lecture | Arrighi – Global capitalism talk |
| 31 | Dependency Theory | Periphery exploited by core | Andre Gunder Frank; Samir Amin; Raul Prebisch | Amin – Dependency lecture | Frank – Development critique talk |
| 32 | Constructivism | Ideas and norms shape global politics | Alexander Wendt; Peter Katzenstein; Martha Finnemore | Wendt – Constructivism lecture | Finnemore – Norms in international politics |
| 33 | Critical Geopolitics | Narratives shape geopolitical perception | Gearóid Ó Tuathail; Simon Dalby; Klaus Dodds | Ó Tuathail – Critical geopolitics lecture | Dodds – Geopolitics and media talk |
| 34 | Hegemonic Stability | A dominant power stabilizes order | Robert Gilpin; Charles Kindleberger; G. John Ikenberry | Ikenberry – Liberal order talk | Gilpin – Power and change lecture |
| 35 | Multipolarity Theory | Multiple great powers balance system | Henry Kissinger; Richard Haass; Charles Kupchan | Haass – Multipolar world lecture | Kupchan – Post-American world talk |
| 36 | Energy Transition Geopolitics | Renewable transition reshapes alliances | Fatih Birol; Daniel Yergin; Vaclav Smil | Birol – Energy future keynote | Yergin – New map talk |
| 37 | Climate Security | Climate drives geopolitical instability | Johan Rockström; Michael Mann; Katharine Hayhoe | Rockström – Planetary boundaries talk | Mann – Climate geopolitics lecture |
| 38 | Water Geopolitics | Water scarcity drives conflict | Aaron Wolf; Peter Gleick; Brahma Chellaney | Gleick – Water security talk | Wolf – Water conflict lecture |
| 39 | Food Security Geopolitics | Food systems shape political stability | Vaclav Smil; Lester Brown; Tim Lang | Smil – Food systems lecture | Brown – Food crisis talk |
| 40 | Migration Geopolitics | Population movement reshapes politics | Hein de Haas; Saskia Sassen; Douglas Massey | de Haas – Migration myths lecture | Sassen – Migration talk |
| 41 | Cyber Geopolitics | Digital infrastructure shapes power | Joseph Nye; Bruce Schneier; P.W. Singer | Schneier – Cybersecurity talk | Singer – Cyber warfare lecture |
| 42 | Platform Geopolitics | Technology platforms rival states | Nick Srnicek; Shoshana Zuboff; Yanis Varoufakis | Zuboff – Surveillance capitalism talk | Varoufakis – Techno-feudalism lecture |
| 43 | AI Geopolitics | AI capability determines global power | Nick Bostrom; Demis Hassabis; Yoshua Bengio | Bostrom – Superintelligence talk | Bengio – AI governance lecture |
| 44 | Space Geopolitics | Orbital infrastructure becomes strategic | Everett Dolman; Peter Garretson; Joan Johnson-Freese | Dolman – Astropolitics lecture | Garretson – Space power talk |
| 45 | Corporate Geopolitics | Multinationals rival states | Susan Strange; Ian Bremmer; Parag Khanna | Strange – Structural power lecture | Bremmer – Global political risk talk |
| 46 | Techno-Feudalism | Platforms replace traditional capitalism | Yanis Varoufakis; Shoshana Zuboff; Nick Srnicek | Varoufakis – Techno-feudalism talk | Zuboff – Surveillance capitalism lecture |
| 47 | Post-National Governance | Nation states weaken over time | Ulrich Beck; Jürgen Habermas; David Held | Habermas – Postnational constellation talk | Held – Global governance lecture |
| 48 | Cosmopolitan Globalism | Humanity transcends nation states | Kwame Anthony Appiah; Martha Nussbaum; Ulrich Beck | Appiah – Cosmopolitanism lecture | Nussbaum – Global justice talk |
| 49 | Planetary Civilization | Human civilization becomes planetary | Carl Sagan; Freeman Dyson; Kim Stanley Robinson | Sagan – Pale blue dot lecture | Robinson – Future of civilization talk |
| 50 | Collapse Theory | Civilizations collapse from complexity | Joseph Tainter; Jared Diamond; Peter Turchin | Tainter – Collapse lecture | Diamond – Collapse talk |
Geopolitical Thinker Map Relative to Open Source Ecology
| Alignment Level | Category | Thinkers | Core Assumption About Civilization | Compatibility with OSE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very High | Commons & Collaborative Civilization | Elinor Ostrom; Buckminster Fuller; Michel Bauwens; David Bollier | Civilization can organize through cooperative governance of shared systems | Extremely aligned – same philosophical foundation |
| Very High | Open Technology / Distributed Production | Neil Gershenfeld; Eric von Hippel; Adrian Bowyer | Innovation emerges from open collaborative engineering ecosystems | Directly aligned with OSE open hardware model |
| High | Ecological Civilization | Herman Daly; Kate Raworth; Donella Meadows | Economy must operate within planetary ecological boundaries | Strong alignment with regenerative infrastructure goals |
| High | Infrastructure Civilization | Parag Khanna; Bent Flyvbjerg; Deborah Cowen | Infrastructure networks shape global development | Aligned with OSE infrastructure-first civilization strategy |
| High | Technological Abundance | Buckminster Fuller; Peter Diamandis; Ray Kurzweil | Technology can eliminate material scarcity | Compatible with OSE post-scarcity industrial systems |
| Moderate | Complex Systems & Resilience | Nassim Taleb; Geoffrey West; Yaneer Bar-Yam | Societies behave as complex adaptive systems | Useful analytical framework for distributed civilization |
| Moderate | Institutional Liberalism | Joseph Nye; Robert Keohane; Anne-Marie Slaughter | Institutions and cooperation reduce conflict | Partial alignment but still state-centric |
| Moderate | Geoeconomics | Edward Luttwak; Ian Bremmer; Robert Blackwill | Economic leverage drives geopolitical power | Compatible analytically but assumes competitive states |
| Moderate | Technological Geopolitics | Vaclav Smil; Mariana Mazzucato; Carlota Perez | Industrial and technological capacity shapes global order | Compatible with OSE industrial development goals |
| Neutral | Geographic Determinism | Halford Mackinder; Nicholas Spykman; Robert Kaplan | Geography strongly constrains political power | Descriptive but not aligned with cooperative paradigm |
| Neutral | Demographic Geopolitics | Peter Zeihan; Nicholas Eberstadt; Jack Goldstone | Population structure drives geopolitical change | Informational but not philosophical alignment |
| Neutral | World-Systems Theory | Immanuel Wallerstein; Giovanni Arrighi; Samir Amin | Global capitalist hierarchy structures world economy | Critical analysis but not solution-oriented |
| Low | Realism | Hans Morgenthau; John Mearsheimer; Stephen Walt | States pursue power and survival in anarchic world | Conflicts with OSE cooperative assumptions |
| Low | Balance of Power | Henry Kissinger; Hedley Bull; Kenneth Waltz | Global stability arises from competing great powers | Assumes permanent geopolitical competition |
| Low | Civilizational Conflict | Samuel Huntington; Bernard Lewis; Niall Ferguson | Civilizations inevitably clash | Opposite of collaborative civilization premise |
| Very Low | Imperial Geopolitics | Karl Haushofer; Alfred Thayer Mahan; Halford Mackinder | Power derives from territorial and military expansion | Fundamentally incompatible with open civilization |
| Very Low | Authoritarian Strategic Thought | Alexander Dugin; Carl Schmitt; Leo Strauss (strategic interpretations) | Civilization organized through centralized power | Opposes decentralized collaborative governance |
Peter Zeihan
Peter Zeihan is raw and humble, much wrong on feasibility of flexible fabrication and distributed enterprise. Centralist. But definitely idealistic? General critique of globalists is that they are formed by existing conditions, and therefore Divergent Thinking is not likely part of their game.
Other thinkers acc to Gemini:
Peter Zeihan is known for his distinctive approach to geopolitics, which heavily emphasizes demographics, geography, and resource availability. When looking for similar thinkers, it's helpful to consider those who share aspects of his analytical style. Here are some individuals and categories of thinkers who have similarities:
Individuals:
George Friedman: Zeihan worked for Friedman at Stratfor, a geopolitical intelligence firm. Friedman also focuses on long-term geopolitical trends and makes forecasts based on geographical and historical factors. Ian Bremmer: Bremmer, the president of Eurasia Group, analyzes political risk and global trends. He provides insights into how political factors influence economic and social developments. Parag Khanna: Khanna focuses on global connectivity, infrastructure, and the shifting power dynamics of nations. He pays close attention to how logistical and technological changes are reshaping the world. John J. Mearsheimer: Mearsheimer is a prominent realist scholar who emphasizes the role of power and competition in international relations. While his approach differs in some ways from Zeihan's, they both focus on the underlying structural forces that shape global events.
Realists
These seem to be in general realist asshats below. The fault of the realist camp seems to be first principle.grounding on scarcity, which is asshattish because scarcity does not stand, on first principles. There is only artificial scarcity, which changes with mindsets. Thus the primary work.of modern civ should focus on changing mindsets - that is the challenge. Nobodybsaid it would be easy.
Alexander Wendt (famous for contribution towards Constructivism)
Barry Buzan (famous for contribution towards Copenhagen School/Securitisation Theory)
James Fearon (famous for contribution towards Rationalism)
John J. Mearsheimer (famous for contribution towards Neorealism)
Joseph S. Nye Jr. (considered cofounder of Neoliberalism)
Kenneth Waltz (considered founder of Neorealism)
Martha Finnemore (famous for contribution towards Constructivism)
Robert O. Keohane (considered cofounder of Neoliberalism)
Samuel P. Huntington (famous for being the most controversial person in IR and for a certain book)
Stephen M. Walt (famous for contribution towards Neorealism)