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• 04:56, 25 January 2026 Marcin talk contribs created page Superforecasting (Created page with "foresight is real. Some people—people like Bill Flack—have it in spades. They aren’t gurus or oracles with the power to peer decades into the future, but they do have a real, measurable skill at judging how high-stakes events are likely to unfold three months, six months, a year, or a year and a half in advance.")