COVID Facts

• Chance of dying if you have it - currently there are 128k deaths total. [1]. Total cases - 2.6 million.
• 128k/ 2600k = 4.9% death rate, 1 in 20.
• Only 7 of 1400 in April has other health conditions. [2]
• This age and sex states that one age 48 is 6x less likely to die than old people, so for the COVID deaths, most people dying are old. If 1 in 20 dies, cahnce of a 48 yo dying is 1/120. [3] Not. Cumulative - so if death rate is 5%, and the age group is 1/15. 0.3% chance of dying.
• "Unless you’re in a high-risk group – and that includes the elderly, children, pregnant women and people with certain medical conditions – you’ll probably be given self-care instructions over the phone and told to stay home,” says Dr. Sensenig.
• What are signs when you should call 911 and emergency room? 'trouble breathing, blue lips or face, chest pain, confusion, or trouble staying awake.' [4]
• USA ICU cost - $10k day 1, $5k day 2, and so forth.
• Evolution of disease shows that if death occurs, it is Day 20. Sample size, 170 - [5]
• It takes 1-2 weeks to get antibodies. Antibody test not recommended before that. [6]
• take test if you had contact with COVID infected people.
• Decisions about testing are made by state and local, external icon health departments or healthcare providers. - [7]
• Flue - April 2020 - about 20x more cases than COVID, and about 3x less deaths - [8]. So there is plenty of flue, but 100x less deadly than COVID.