D3D Risk Assessment
Contents
General
The main sources of risk experienced in OSE's workshop model indlclude I order of importance and sequencing:
- Design completion - without design completion, an XM event is impossible to execute
- Instructionals completion - without instructionals completion, from full detail, to cheat sheet, to video detail - XM results are significantly degraded in terms of completion status and crowd enjoyment level
- Supply chain management - issues related to persistent supply chain variability, stock, shipping time, unproven sourcing, etc.
- Marketing - proper video and timely announcement, as well as campaign, are critical. A publicity strategy is the indispensable for success.
- Software (in projects requiring software jnstallation or use)
- Critical Path - risk is missed or undefined steps that affect product outcome, for which the solution is to do a detailed critical path on the 2 week horizon, where details of scope, announcement, publicity, and marketing are outlined prior to event description going live.
Supply Chain
High risk, needs resolution urgently. From nonexistent BOM, it will take 100+ hours for proper sourcing completion - about 160 unique parts, so approx 1600 items at 4 minutes per item.
For the Prusa i3 kit from Folgertech, assuming this will be a continuing workshop, backups are needed for the comllete Folgertech kit. This includes laser cut parts, special motor mounts made of metal, off-shelf bolts etc, 3D printed parts, electronics, print surface (not included) and add-on.
Our evolution strategy is to minimize parts count in D3D, and to produce alternative sourcing, with multiple (5 good sources).
The goal is to determine if sourcing for 12 machines can be attained at $300 per machine, with or without the Folgertech source.
Marketing
Marketing risk is mitigated by completion of Marketing Strategy, and its execution. This includes preparation of a video (12 hours) and announcement (12 hours). Marketing strategy and execution should be another 16 hours.
Success is based on putting in the required time to make sure this happens.
Instructionals Completion
Manageable risk, 100 hours required to produce detailed module-by-module instructionals of high quality standards. Best strategy is to have 12 teams do one Module each.
A dustributed approach is the best strategy here.
Design Completion
Low risk. 10 years of development are already embodied in the current design, and it is a mature technology ready for market.
Software
Software development can be tricky. Our strong point is potential availability of Cura Lulzbot Edition. Risk of install will be mitigated by Live Linux USB, workable on any computer. Preparation time for this live USB is not known, and needs to be determined as early as possible.
Critical Path
Critical Path Assessment
Critical path was followed well verall. Live USB took until the last few days, and ended up not working for half the participants. 6 of 10 video instructionals were complete, with 4 modules missing, and overall build missing. Presence of instructors made up for this, so was not critical.
