Energy Production: Difference between revisions

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=Summary=
If each person had a 12kW PV system, we displace all energy use including transport and industry.
*This easily fits on existing rooftops pending  6x efficiency, easily obtained by lifetime, modular design. And solar drones for transportation.
*Note this is for total energy, not just home energy.
=Global Energy Production=
=Global Energy Production=
*170M GWhr
*170M GWhr = 21MWhr/person. This is the same as produced by a 12kW solar system! (26MWhr)
**22k TWhr in electricity production
**22k TWhr in electricity production
*Let's take the total, and put it on solar roofs.
*Let's take the total, and put it on solar roofs.
*Our house has 12kW each. That is 26MWhr per year, or 0.03 GWhr annual
*Our house has 12kW each. That is 26MWhr per year, or 0.03 GWhr annual
*This is 5.6B homes. That is more homes than exists today.
*This is 5.6B homes needed for 170M GWhr. That is more homes than exists today. There is 1/5 the homes than the number people. Thus, we need 6x the homes to provide all energy. This is consistent with a home powering itself, and total energy use being several factors higher due to other human activity.
*If we take just the electric production, then we have 700M rooftops.
*If we take just the electric production, then we have 700M rooftops.
*Each Campus produces 500 homes per year. 1M homes means we would have 2000 Campuses in the USA. Market size is large for the USA alone. And a global market about 4x this [https://www.visualcapitalist.com/u-s-share-of-global-economy-over-time/]. Thus, 8000 Campuses worldwide. But. That is still only 4M rooftops, 200x less than what is needed.
*Each Campus produces 500 homes per year. 1M homes means we would have 2000 Campuses in the USA. Market sise  large for the USA alone. And a global market about 4x this [https://www.visualcapitalist.com/u-s-share-of-global-economy-over-time/]. Thus, 8000 Campuses worldwide. But. That is still only 4M rooftops, 200x less than what is needed for the electric portion only. But note that this is just a gap of replacing housing stock - only a percent or so is replaced annually.
*Installed powerplants are 60k of them and 6TW total installed [https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=28392#:~:text=An%20estimated%2062%2C500%20power%20plants,are%20all%20hydroelectric%20power%20plants.]
*Installed powerplants are 60k of them and 6TW total installed [https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=28392#:~:text=An%20estimated%2062%2C500%20power%20plants,are%20all%20hydroelectric%20power%20plants.]. Typical area is 1 sq mile, so we have 60000 sq miles of power plants .
*Each sq mi makes 700M kWhr, or 700 GWhr or 0.7 TWhr. 60,000 of these make 42,000TWhr
**{{Check}}All power plants converted to solar produce 2x the required global electricity, without addressing 'storage'.
**And this is 1/4 of total energy use by humans
*Note that there is a 6x gap in require rooftops area, counting only 1000 sf per house.
**10x it from lifetime design
**10x from modular design and solar drones for transportation
**2x from more solar, 2000 sf total (practical)
**Left with 30x excess. But, note that the home-only perspective, 12kW system is sufficient for all needs. The 30x gap displaces industry.
**{{Check}} - implication: 30x the population, eco-industry in communities, and we are thriving with no visible degradation while regenerating people and planet.

Latest revision as of 17:43, 21 August 2023

Summary

If each person had a 12kW PV system, we displace all energy use including transport and industry.

  • This easily fits on existing rooftops pending 6x efficiency, easily obtained by lifetime, modular design. And solar drones for transportation.
  • Note this is for total energy, not just home energy.

Global Energy Production

  • 170M GWhr = 21MWhr/person. This is the same as produced by a 12kW solar system! (26MWhr)
    • 22k TWhr in electricity production
  • Let's take the total, and put it on solar roofs.
  • Our house has 12kW each. That is 26MWhr per year, or 0.03 GWhr annual
  • This is 5.6B homes needed for 170M GWhr. That is more homes than exists today. There is 1/5 the homes than the number people. Thus, we need 6x the homes to provide all energy. This is consistent with a home powering itself, and total energy use being several factors higher due to other human activity.
  • If we take just the electric production, then we have 700M rooftops.
  • Each Campus produces 500 homes per year. 1M homes means we would have 2000 Campuses in the USA. Market sise large for the USA alone. And a global market about 4x this [1]. Thus, 8000 Campuses worldwide. But. That is still only 4M rooftops, 200x less than what is needed for the electric portion only. But note that this is just a gap of replacing housing stock - only a percent or so is replaced annually.
  • Installed powerplants are 60k of them and 6TW total installed [2]. Typical area is 1 sq mile, so we have 60000 sq miles of power plants .
  • Each sq mi makes 700M kWhr, or 700 GWhr or 0.7 TWhr. 60,000 of these make 42,000TWhr
    • Check.pngAll power plants converted to solar produce 2x the required global electricity, without addressing 'storage'.
    • And this is 1/4 of total energy use by humans
  • Note that there is a 6x gap in require rooftops area, counting only 1000 sf per house.
    • 10x it from lifetime design
    • 10x from modular design and solar drones for transportation
    • 2x from more solar, 2000 sf total (practical)
    • Left with 30x excess. But, note that the home-only perspective, 12kW system is sufficient for all needs. The 30x gap displaces industry.
    • Check.png - implication: 30x the population, eco-industry in communities, and we are thriving with no visible degradation while regenerating people and planet.