COVID Facts: Difference between revisions
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*128k/ 2600k = 4.9% death rate, 1 in 20. | *128k/ 2600k = 4.9% death rate, 1 in 20. | ||
*Only 7 of 1400 in April has other health conditions. [https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2020/04/13/covid-young-people] | *Only 7 of 1400 in April has other health conditions. [https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2020/04/13/covid-young-people] | ||
*This age and sex states that one age 48 is 6x less likely to die than old people, so for the COVID deaths, most people dying are old. If 1 in 20 dies, cahnce of a 48 yo dying is 1/120. [https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm#AgeAndSex] | *This age and sex states that one age 48 is 6x less likely to die than old people, so for the COVID deaths, most people dying are old. If 1 in 20 dies, cahnce of a 48 yo dying is 1/120. [https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm#AgeAndSex] Not. Cumulative - so if death rate is 5%, and the age group is 1/15. 0.3% chance of dying. | ||
*"Unless you’re in a high-risk group – and that includes the elderly, children, pregnant women and people with certain medical conditions – you’ll probably be given self-care instructions over the phone and told to stay home,” says Dr. Sensenig. | |||
*What are signs when you should call 911 and emergency room? 'trouble breathing, blue lips or face, chest pain, confusion, or trouble staying awake.' [https://www.riversideonline.com/health_information/healthy_you/coronavirus-the-flu-or-something-else.cfm] | |||
*USA ICU cost - $10k day 1, $5k day 2, and so forth. | |||
*'''Evolution of disease shows that if death occurs, it is Day 20. Sample size, 170 - [https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30566-3/fulltext] | |||
*It takes 1-2 weeks to get antibodies. Antibody test not recommended before that. [https://www.healthline.com/health-news/when-should-you-get-a-covid-19-test-what-about-an-antibody-test#Antibody-testing] | |||
*take test if you had contact with COVID infected people. | |||
*''Decisions about testing are made by state and local, external icon health departments or healthcare providers.'' - [https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/testing/diagnostic-testing.html] | |||
*Flue - April 2020 - about 20x more cases than COVID, and about 3x less deaths - [https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm]. So there is plenty of flue, but 100x less deadly than COVID. | |||
Latest revision as of 19:12, 29 June 2020
- Chance of dying if you have it - currently there are 128k deaths total. [1]. Total cases - 2.6 million.
- 128k/ 2600k = 4.9% death rate, 1 in 20.
- Only 7 of 1400 in April has other health conditions. [2]
- This age and sex states that one age 48 is 6x less likely to die than old people, so for the COVID deaths, most people dying are old. If 1 in 20 dies, cahnce of a 48 yo dying is 1/120. [3] Not. Cumulative - so if death rate is 5%, and the age group is 1/15. 0.3% chance of dying.
- "Unless you’re in a high-risk group – and that includes the elderly, children, pregnant women and people with certain medical conditions – you’ll probably be given self-care instructions over the phone and told to stay home,” says Dr. Sensenig.
- What are signs when you should call 911 and emergency room? 'trouble breathing, blue lips or face, chest pain, confusion, or trouble staying awake.' [4]
- USA ICU cost - $10k day 1, $5k day 2, and so forth.
- Evolution of disease shows that if death occurs, it is Day 20. Sample size, 170 - [5]
- It takes 1-2 weeks to get antibodies. Antibody test not recommended before that. [6]
- take test if you had contact with COVID infected people.
- Decisions about testing are made by state and local, external icon health departments or healthcare providers. - [7]
- Flue - April 2020 - about 20x more cases than COVID, and about 3x less deaths - [8]. So there is plenty of flue, but 100x less deadly than COVID.