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= | =Pollution= | ||
*5 tons per capita CO2 per year [https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALeKk026QG9BbsZl0rNsBS9KmerMgczY_w%3A1602863734253&source=hp&ei=dsKJX6q8DJDYsAXHkpG4Cw&q=annual+co2+emissions+in+tons&btnK=Google+Search&oq=how+to+configure+nvidia+geforce+gtx+1650+super+on+linux+mint&gs_lcp=CgZwc3ktYWIQAzIFCCEQoAEyBQghEKsCMgUIIRCrAjoOCAAQ6gIQtAIQmgEQ5QI6DgguELEDEMcBEKMCEJMCOggILhDHARCvAToLCC4QsQMQxwEQowI6CAgAELEDEIMBOggILhCxAxCDAToFCAAQsQM6AggAOgQIABAKOgYIABAWEB46CAghEBYQHRAeOgcIIRAKEKABUMsQWOmzAWD8tAFoBnAAeACAAeQGiAGhS5IBDTExLjQ3LjMuMi42LTGYAQCgAQGqAQdnd3Mtd2l6sAEG&sclient=psy-ab&ved=0ahUKEwiqz4DcvLnsAhUQLKwKHUdJBLcQ4dUDCAk&uact=5] | |||
=Ballistics= | |||
[[ | *Bullet - 2x speed of sound [https://www.wonderopolis.org/wonder/how-fast-can-a-bullet-travel#:~:text=When%20bullets%20fly%20through%20the,twice%20the%20speed%20of%20sound!] | ||
*F22 - 1500 mph, 2x the speed of sound, faster than a bullet. High cost due on stealth and sensor features[https://openspace.sfmoma.org/2011/03/faster-tha-a-speeding-bullet/#:~:text=Yes%2C%20that's%20right%20%E2%80%93%20the%20F,between%201%2C200%20and%201%2C500%20mph.] | |||
*Rockets - if manned airplanes, they are faster, but less maneuverable. Thus, start with rocket and go to plane - that's what Chris Laski's SDB does | |||
*GLSDB - [https://chuckhillscgblog.net/2022/12/14/glsdb-perhaps-a-low-cost-containerized-precision-shore-bombardment-and-anti-ship-weapon-maybe-taiwan-could-use-it-too/]. Source was only 230mph. [https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/GB-1]. Current models will go as fast as carrier (plane or rocket) | |||
*S300 goes up to match 8 or so (faster than target), but its slower interceptors can take down things moving 10000 mph when the interceptor is moving 2000 mph [https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-300_missile_system#:~:text=It%20is%20capable%20of%20detecting,km%20(190%20mi)%20away.]. S400s have 24 kg warheads. In the limit of 0 velocity, we could do a drone mist of warheads. For 100% duty cycle, would need redundant fleets. Do some calculations. | |||
*Terminal velocity of freefall - only up to a few hundred mph [https://www.omnicalculator.com/physics/terminal-velocity] | |||
*Max slant range of Gephard anti air is 4 km, vertical is 10 km | |||
=National Budgets= | |||
*1/5 if US budget goes to defense. 3% to education, similar to science. Each F22 jet costs $300M, but it can fly faster than a bullet and intercept cruise missiles. [https://openspace.sfmoma.org/2011/03/faster-tha-a-speeding-bullet/#:~:text=Yes%2C%20that's%20right%20%E2%80%93%20the%20F,between%201%2C200%20and%201%2C500%20mph.] | |||
= | =Land= | ||
*{{check}}USA - 2B acres, half in agriculture, more in forest. Thus 3 acres of farm per person, 6 acres per person total. [https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/ag-and-food-statistics-charting-the-essentials/land-and-natural-resources/?topicId=a7a658d4-f209-4641-9172-066ca0896abe] | |||
*World acres - 123 billion acres in size, of which 37 billion acres are land. Of this, 1.5% is urban area. Read [[Who Owns the World]]. | |||
*Global farmland is approximately 19 million square miles, or approximately 12 billion acres. | |||
*40.8% of USA land is farmland - [https://www.quora.com/What-percentage-of-US-land-is-farmland], or 911 million acres - [http://sustainableagriculture.net/blog/total-2014-results/] | |||
*For 30,000 [[OSE Campuses]] at 1000 acres each, that is an intended total of 30 million acres, or 3% of US farmland. However, we need only 700 Campuses for a $35B net budget. | |||
*Small farms (231 acres or less) are 88% of farms in America [https://www.google.com/search?q=What+is+the+size+of+a+large+farm+in+the+usa&sxsrf=ALiCzsa5N36XjSkGaZDupQBh0B3JdX6XAw%3A1654882436484&ei=hICjYt-KHdegqtsP9_y7yAo&ved=0ahUKEwjf3JW-taP4AhVXkGoFHXf-DqkQ4dUDCA4&uact=5&oq=What+is+the+size+of+a+large+farm+in+the+usa&gs_lcp=Cgdnd3Mtd2l6EAM6BwgAEEcQsAM6CAgAEB4QDRAKOgoIABAeEAgQDRAKOgUIABCGAzoICAAQHhAHEAo6BggAEB4QCjoECCEQCkoECEEYAEoECEYYAFDlB1iKFGDsF2gCcAF4AIABkwGIAaoGkgEDNy4ymAEAoAEByAEIwAEB&sclient=gws-wiz] | |||
* | =Artificial Economics= | ||
*US farmers lose an average of $60/acre before subsidies, and make $20/acre after subsidies - [https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/06/12/new-plan-remove-trillion-tons-carbon-dioxide-atmosphere-bury-it/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.de3f846ee573]. What is the size of an average farm in the usa? 444 acres. [https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALeKk026QG9BbsZl0rNsBS9KmerMgczY_w%3A1602863734253&source=hp&ei=dsKJX6q8DJDYsAXHkpG4Cw&q=What+is+the+size+of+an+average+farm+in+the+usa&btnK=Google+Search&oq=how+to+configure+nvidia+geforce+gtx+1650+super+on+linux+mint&gs_lcp=CgZwc3ktYWIQAzIFCCEQoAEyBQghEKsCMgUIIRCrAjoOCAAQ6gIQtAIQmgEQ5QI6DgguELEDEMcBEKMCEJMCOggILhDHARCvAToLCC4QsQMQxwEQowI6CAgAELEDEIMBOggILhCxAxCDAToFCAAQsQM6AggAOgQIABAKOgYIABAWEB46CAghEBYQHRAeOgcIIRAKEKABUMsQWOmzAWD8tAFoBnAAeACAAeQGiAGhS5IBDTExLjQ3LjMuMi42LTGYAQCgAQGqAQdnd3Mtd2l6sAEG&sclient=psy-ab&ved=0ahUKEwiqz4DcvLnsAhUQLKwKHUdJBLcQ4dUDCAk&uact=5]. So farmers are typically below poverty line at about $10k made per year? Very large farms are 2000 acres - so make $40k/year? $20/acre profit does not make sense. | |||
= | =Manmade= | ||
*[[ | *[[Worldometer]] | ||
*[[ | *It costs 10 cents in feed per laying chicken per day assuming no foraging - [http://www.honestmeat.com/honest_meat/2013/03/egg-production-not-all-its-cracked-up-to-be.html]. There is an added cost of 22 weeks until laying age. | ||
*Max current genetics of hazel crop - 3000 lb/acre dry kernel + 5000 lb shell (fuel) - 49:48 of [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KpJR2yfLUU0] - 10 lb/plant | |||
*Average USA corn crop - 8000 lb - [https://www.google.com/search?q=corn+yield+per+acre&oq=corn+yield+per+acre&aqs=chrome..69i57j0l5.6112j0j7&client=ubuntu-browser&sourceid=chrome&es_sm=93&ie=UTF-8] | |||
*Average USA soybean crop - 2700 lb - [https://www.google.com/search?q=average+bushel+yield+of+soybeans&oq=average+bushel+yield+of+soybeans&aqs=chrome..69i57.9766j0j7&client=ubuntu-browser&sourceid=chrome&es_sm=93&ie=UTF-8] | |||
*USA average soil erosion is 5 tons per acre for agricultural land - [http://www.nrcs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE_MEDIA/stelprdb1041883.png] | |||
*Approximately 10 million acres of cropland are lost every year due to erosion (a square more than 100 miles on the side), or 4- [http://www.botany.uwc.ac.za/envfacts/facts/erosion.htm] | |||
*36 billion acres of land on earth - [http://one-simple-idea.com/Environment1.htm] | |||
*total biomass yield of USA provides almost 2x the USA use of gasoline equivalent from biomass to gasoline and fuel char for gasifier engine - https://www.soils.org/files/am/ecosystems/kinght.pdf | |||
*total land and sea area to cover food needs per person - 1.7 acres.http://www.footprintnetwork.org/pt/index.php/GFN/page/living_planet_report_2014_facts/ | |||
*arable land usa - .5 ha/person | |||
*World Military Spending - $1.7T | |||
*US GDP - $17T, and Government Budget- $7T | |||
*World GDP - or GWP - $85T | |||
*World energy use - 144 PWhr | |||
*USA Military Spending - $640B - $2k per capita spending | |||
:*USA Trillion Military Budget - [http://www.pogo.org/our-work/straus-military-reform-project/defense-budget/2014/americas-one-trillion-national-security-budget.html] | |||
*$40B organics market - http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/natural-resources-environment/organic-agriculture/organic-market-overview.aspx. That makes it | |||
*Annual sustainable forest yield of 12.5B cubic meters or 105 exajoules - [http://www.amazon.com/Renewable-Energy-Sources-Fuels-Electricity/dp/1559631384], p. 615 | |||
:*Annual energy use by USA - 94 exajoules | |||
*US energy consumption by sector - 40% electricity, 30% transportation - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_the_United_States#mediaviewer/File:US_Energy_Consumption_by_Sector_2007.PNG] | |||
:*Total USA energy use - 25 PWhr - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_the_United_States] - (petawatt hours (See [[Metric Prefixes]])) | |||
:*Equivalent to 90 exajoules, consistent with Renewable Energy "Blue Bible" above. | |||
*250GW of PV is installable on existing rooftops - Cosservative estimate (50% of residential rooftops) - [http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy09osti/44073.pdf] | |||
:*Per year, let's take average insolation as 6 hours per day * 365 days - or 550 TWhr per year. That is 2% of USA's energy use, or 5% of USA's electric use. This is JUST RESIDENTIAL ROOFTOPS. Needs to add commercial rooftops, parking lots, roadway medians. | |||
*USA road density - 67 km/ 100 sq km of area - [http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IS.ROD.DNST.K2] | |||
*USA area - 10 million sq km | |||
*USA roads - 6.7 million km. Assume an average road is 2 lane with shoulder - each lane has 12 foot (3.7m) standard in the USA - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lane] - or an area of about 100,000 sq km. This could power 1/4 of the world's energy needs (oil, nukes, solar) | |||
*Area required to power all of the world with PV is 400,000 sq km - [http://landartgenerator.org/blagi/archives/127] | |||
*Total forest area of the world - 4 billion hectares - [http://www.fao.org/forestry/fra/41256/en/] - 30% of land area of world. | |||
*Total farmland area worldwide - | |||
*Total land area - 150M sq km - google | |||
*Total agriculture land - 33% of world land according to FAO - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agricultural_land] | |||
*Energy per capita US vs Switzerland - As an indicator, the average energy use per person is 12,000 watts in the USA but only 3,000 in the Switzerland - [http://californiaphoton.com/energy/world/rooftop.html#ref3] | |||
*Percentage of USA energy by source. Coal electricity is 40% - [http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=427&t=3] | |||
*Half of USA rooftops could replace all coal electricity in the USA - [http://californiaphoton.com/energy/world/rooftop.html#mean_rooftop_area] | |||
*World electricity production 2009 - 20PWh - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_generation] | |||
*Area of all cities compared to world land area - 0.5% - [http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/4/4/044003] - or 750,000 sq km. | |||
= | =Other= | ||
*[http://www. | *Average driving distance - 13.5k miles/yr - USA - [http://cars.lovetoknow.com/about-cars/how-many-miles-do-americans-drive-per-year] | ||
*[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ | *Average commute, USA - 14 miles - [http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1071688_95-of-all-trips-could-be-made-in-electric-cars-says-study] | ||
*[[ | *Tesla Model S battery - $12k for 10 years of service - [http://www.teslamotors.com/it_IT/forum/forums/real-long-term-cost-vs-battery-life] | ||
*[[ | :*This source says 5 years of service - [http://auto.howstuffworks.com/fuel-efficiency/vehicles/lithium-ion-battery-car2.htm] | ||
*Given $1200/year battery costs of Tesla Model S, cost of fuel or electricity is $1700 - no savings - between the electric and regular fuel option approximately at the 15,000 mile per year mark - according to cost calculator at [http://www.teslamotors.com/goelectric#savings] | |||
*Lithium Ion batteries - predicted to go down to under $200/kWh -[http://www.autoblog.com/2013/11/08/li-ion-battery-prices-headed--down-180-kwh/] | |||
*Nickel-Iron battery energy density - 50Wh/kg - [http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/alternate_battery_systems] | |||
:*Lithium ion battery is 2-5x as energy dense. | |||
:*Wikipedia says Nickel-Iron battery is 25Wh/kg -[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nickel%E2%80%93iron_battery] | |||
:*This source says 30-50Wh/kg - [http://www.nickel-iron-battery.com/] | |||
*Lithium reserves - 13 million tons worldwide - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lithium#Production] | |||
:*One study shows there are supplies for EVs until 2100 (about a 100 year supply) | |||
*EVs could replace 75% of petroleum fuel - [http://www.tms.org/pubs/journals/jom/0809/daniel-0809.html] | |||
*Materials cost for a 18650 cell (Lithium Ion) is $1.25 (about 4W) - [http://www.tms.org/pubs/journals/jom/0809/daniel-0809.html] | |||
*Lithium is $40/lb - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lithium#Production] | |||
*According to this source - [https://books.google.com/books?id=JuLko8USApwC&pg=PA145&lpg=PA145&dq=nickel+reserve+to+run+out+in+100+years&source=bl&ots=oSA-jYXBFA&sig=DXze6y4lHT3ODKWW5DpkJVneCig&hl=en&sa=X&ei=ohSdVI_uO9H2yQSQs4HgCw&ved=0CCYQ6AEwAQ#v=onepage&q=nickel%20reserve%20to%20run%20out%20in%20100%20years&f=false] - we have 100 years of nickel reserves, nad 200 years of iron and aluminum. | |||
*Nickel - $6/lb | |||
*Iron - 20 cents/lb | |||
=Resources= | |||
*Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air - [http://www.withouthotair.com/c15/page_94.shtml] | |||
*Paper on Lithium Ion vs. fuel cars - LCA - using E199 and Total Beauty frameworks. We can make a case for a much higher Total Beauty Framework using renewable fuel (charcoal) - [http://www.maxdunn.com/files/attachments/maxdunn/PMBA:%20Presidio%20MBA%20Home/Lithium_Battery_Sustainability_Analysis.pdf] | |||
:*Study E199 and Total Beauty | |||
*Embodied energy of common products - [http://www.lowtechmagazine.com/what-is-the-embodied-energy-of-materials.html] | |||
=Links= | |||
As we complete this page, we are likely to arrive at dedicated wiki pages, such as: | |||
#[[Housing Statistics]] | |||
etc | |||
[[Category: Calculators, Quick References, and Tables]] |
Latest revision as of 22:10, 5 August 2024
Pollution
- 5 tons per capita CO2 per year [1]
Ballistics
- Bullet - 2x speed of sound [2]
- F22 - 1500 mph, 2x the speed of sound, faster than a bullet. High cost due on stealth and sensor features[3]
- Rockets - if manned airplanes, they are faster, but less maneuverable. Thus, start with rocket and go to plane - that's what Chris Laski's SDB does
- GLSDB - [4]. Source was only 230mph. [5]. Current models will go as fast as carrier (plane or rocket)
- S300 goes up to match 8 or so (faster than target), but its slower interceptors can take down things moving 10000 mph when the interceptor is moving 2000 mph [6]. S400s have 24 kg warheads. In the limit of 0 velocity, we could do a drone mist of warheads. For 100% duty cycle, would need redundant fleets. Do some calculations.
- Terminal velocity of freefall - only up to a few hundred mph [7]
- Max slant range of Gephard anti air is 4 km, vertical is 10 km
National Budgets
- 1/5 if US budget goes to defense. 3% to education, similar to science. Each F22 jet costs $300M, but it can fly faster than a bullet and intercept cruise missiles. [8]
Land
USA - 2B acres, half in agriculture, more in forest. Thus 3 acres of farm per person, 6 acres per person total. [9]
- World acres - 123 billion acres in size, of which 37 billion acres are land. Of this, 1.5% is urban area. Read Who Owns the World.
- Global farmland is approximately 19 million square miles, or approximately 12 billion acres.
- 40.8% of USA land is farmland - [10], or 911 million acres - [11]
- For 30,000 OSE Campuses at 1000 acres each, that is an intended total of 30 million acres, or 3% of US farmland. However, we need only 700 Campuses for a $35B net budget.
- Small farms (231 acres or less) are 88% of farms in America [12]
Artificial Economics
- US farmers lose an average of $60/acre before subsidies, and make $20/acre after subsidies - [13]. What is the size of an average farm in the usa? 444 acres. [14]. So farmers are typically below poverty line at about $10k made per year? Very large farms are 2000 acres - so make $40k/year? $20/acre profit does not make sense.
Manmade
- Worldometer
- It costs 10 cents in feed per laying chicken per day assuming no foraging - [15]. There is an added cost of 22 weeks until laying age.
- Max current genetics of hazel crop - 3000 lb/acre dry kernel + 5000 lb shell (fuel) - 49:48 of [16] - 10 lb/plant
- Average USA corn crop - 8000 lb - [17]
- Average USA soybean crop - 2700 lb - [18]
- USA average soil erosion is 5 tons per acre for agricultural land - [19]
- Approximately 10 million acres of cropland are lost every year due to erosion (a square more than 100 miles on the side), or 4- [20]
- 36 billion acres of land on earth - [21]
- total biomass yield of USA provides almost 2x the USA use of gasoline equivalent from biomass to gasoline and fuel char for gasifier engine - https://www.soils.org/files/am/ecosystems/kinght.pdf
- total land and sea area to cover food needs per person - 1.7 acres.http://www.footprintnetwork.org/pt/index.php/GFN/page/living_planet_report_2014_facts/
- arable land usa - .5 ha/person
- World Military Spending - $1.7T
- US GDP - $17T, and Government Budget- $7T
- World GDP - or GWP - $85T
- World energy use - 144 PWhr
- USA Military Spending - $640B - $2k per capita spending
- USA Trillion Military Budget - [22]
- $40B organics market - http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/natural-resources-environment/organic-agriculture/organic-market-overview.aspx. That makes it
- Annual sustainable forest yield of 12.5B cubic meters or 105 exajoules - [23], p. 615
- Annual energy use by USA - 94 exajoules
- US energy consumption by sector - 40% electricity, 30% transportation - [24]
- Total USA energy use - 25 PWhr - [25] - (petawatt hours (See Metric Prefixes))
- Equivalent to 90 exajoules, consistent with Renewable Energy "Blue Bible" above.
- 250GW of PV is installable on existing rooftops - Cosservative estimate (50% of residential rooftops) - [26]
- Per year, let's take average insolation as 6 hours per day * 365 days - or 550 TWhr per year. That is 2% of USA's energy use, or 5% of USA's electric use. This is JUST RESIDENTIAL ROOFTOPS. Needs to add commercial rooftops, parking lots, roadway medians.
- USA road density - 67 km/ 100 sq km of area - [27]
- USA area - 10 million sq km
- USA roads - 6.7 million km. Assume an average road is 2 lane with shoulder - each lane has 12 foot (3.7m) standard in the USA - [28] - or an area of about 100,000 sq km. This could power 1/4 of the world's energy needs (oil, nukes, solar)
- Area required to power all of the world with PV is 400,000 sq km - [29]
- Total forest area of the world - 4 billion hectares - [30] - 30% of land area of world.
- Total farmland area worldwide -
- Total land area - 150M sq km - google
- Total agriculture land - 33% of world land according to FAO - [31]
- Energy per capita US vs Switzerland - As an indicator, the average energy use per person is 12,000 watts in the USA but only 3,000 in the Switzerland - [32]
- Percentage of USA energy by source. Coal electricity is 40% - [33]
- Half of USA rooftops could replace all coal electricity in the USA - [34]
- World electricity production 2009 - 20PWh - [35]
- Area of all cities compared to world land area - 0.5% - [36] - or 750,000 sq km.
Other
- Average driving distance - 13.5k miles/yr - USA - [37]
- Average commute, USA - 14 miles - [38]
- Tesla Model S battery - $12k for 10 years of service - [39]
- This source says 5 years of service - [40]
- Given $1200/year battery costs of Tesla Model S, cost of fuel or electricity is $1700 - no savings - between the electric and regular fuel option approximately at the 15,000 mile per year mark - according to cost calculator at [41]
- Lithium Ion batteries - predicted to go down to under $200/kWh -[42]
- Nickel-Iron battery energy density - 50Wh/kg - [43]
- Lithium reserves - 13 million tons worldwide - [46]
- One study shows there are supplies for EVs until 2100 (about a 100 year supply)
- EVs could replace 75% of petroleum fuel - [47]
- Materials cost for a 18650 cell (Lithium Ion) is $1.25 (about 4W) - [48]
- Lithium is $40/lb - [49]
- According to this source - [50] - we have 100 years of nickel reserves, nad 200 years of iron and aluminum.
- Nickel - $6/lb
- Iron - 20 cents/lb
Resources
- Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air - [51]
- Paper on Lithium Ion vs. fuel cars - LCA - using E199 and Total Beauty frameworks. We can make a case for a much higher Total Beauty Framework using renewable fuel (charcoal) - [52]
- Study E199 and Total Beauty
- Embodied energy of common products - [53]
Links
As we complete this page, we are likely to arrive at dedicated wiki pages, such as:
etc