Billion Per Day Operation: Difference between revisions

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*Essentially, largest takehome is $100B. That is $250M per day. So it's only a quarter B per day, and for logistics-based operations - one third of that (Amazon) at $90M/day. Roughly speaking, we need to be at $100M/day.
*Essentially, largest takehome is $100B. That is $250M per day. So it's only a quarter B per day, and for logistics-based operations - one third of that (Amazon) at $90M/day. Roughly speaking, we need to be at $100M/day.
*How many Seed Eco-Homes value is that per day? 1000 per day at $100k 'net' where 'net' is equivalent to the standard net if OSE 'net' is [[Regenerative Capital]].
*How many Seed Eco-Homes value is that per day? 1000 per day at $100k 'net' where 'net' is equivalent to the standard net if OSE 'net' is [[Regenerative Capital]].
*How many allied OSE operations does it take to do this? At the 24 person core operation, a house is built in 5 days. At the scaled 240 person '''village campus''', 2 houses are built per day. 50 such operations are thus necessary. OSE's current big picture strategy is to robustify the Seed Eco-Home enterprise towards free land and materials, thus retaining labor as the main expense. After free materials and land, there is automation that converts labor to R&D, as heavy investment in R&D pays off with increased effectiveness. If we can increase effectiveness via R&D, then the core of OSE's work shifts from mastery of [[Manual Knowledge Work]] to a track of R&D, embodying lifelong learning.
*How many allied OSE operations does it take to do this? At the 24 person core operation, a house is built in 5 days. At the scaled 240 person '''village campus''', 2 houses are built per day. And $73M/year in the robust version. 500 such operations are thus necessary. OSE's current big picture strategy is to robustify the Seed Eco-Home enterprise towards free land and materials, thus retaining labor as the main expense. After free materials and land, there is automation that converts labor to R&D, as heavy investment in R&D pays off with increased effectiveness. If we can increase effectiveness via R&D, then the core of OSE's work shifts from mastery of [[Manual Knowledge Work]] to a track of R&D, embodying lifelong learning.
*This is all within the comfortable realm of a Dunbar-number of OSE Campuses worldwide, each having the equivalent of 240 effective half-time workers - work-study students. In fact, only 50 of such villages are required to change the world. This is based on $100k net per house with a cost structure of an [[Economy of Integration]] - materials value capture - $25k, labor value capture $25k, profit value capture $25k and  [[Integrated Design]] value capture (CAD-BOM-Build efficiency) at $25k.
*This is all within the stretch realm of a Dunbar-number of OSE Campuses worldwide, implemented as Sister Cities - each having the equivalent of 240 effective half-time workers - work-study students. In fact, only 500 of such villages are required to change the world. This is based on $100k net per house with a cost structure of an [[Economy of Integration]] - materials value capture - $25k, labor value capture $25k, profit value capture $25k and  [[Integrated Design]] value capture (CAD-BOM-Build efficiency) at $25k.
*Each 240 person operation is $50M net, a world class facility replicated at least 50 times, with allowance for Dunbar's number of these as a naturally manageable scale.
**Stretch Dunbar Number is 500 - with 'sister cities' goes down to 250 - which is a strech but manageable Dunbar Number scale for super-relational high performers.
*24 by 2024, 240 by 2025, few replications by 2026. By 2028, there may be a chance for 50 such campuses, or it could take 2 more decades.
*Each 240 person operation is $73M net, a world class facility replicated at least 50 times, with allowance for Dunbar's number of these as a naturally manageable scale.
*24 person operation by 2024, 240 person ops by 2025, few replications by 2026. By 2028, there may be a chance for 500 such campuses, or it could take 2 or 3 more decades.

Revision as of 01:01, 22 June 2023

  • Net is important - what you make is irrelevant, what you keep is relevant.
  • What is the largest corporation in the world in terms of net revenue? Saudi Aramco, with $100B net. Up in top 10 are the usual suspects including Berkshire: IT, Oil, and Banks, with Amazon at 11th at $33B. [1]. Microsoft is most profitable with 36% margin, followed by Berkshire with 33%. Rest are 25% or less, Saudi Aramco at 25%.
  • What is the total value of the top 100 and top 1000 corporations in the world? Top 100 - assume $1B after 50, so the top few surpass that by 100x themselves and thus after 50 it would be only a few percent, so top 100 = top 50 - about $20B net average. Thus top 100 are about $1T net revenue.
  • Essentially, largest takehome is $100B. That is $250M per day. So it's only a quarter B per day, and for logistics-based operations - one third of that (Amazon) at $90M/day. Roughly speaking, we need to be at $100M/day.
  • How many Seed Eco-Homes value is that per day? 1000 per day at $100k 'net' where 'net' is equivalent to the standard net if OSE 'net' is Regenerative Capital.
  • How many allied OSE operations does it take to do this? At the 24 person core operation, a house is built in 5 days. At the scaled 240 person village campus, 2 houses are built per day. And $73M/year in the robust version. 500 such operations are thus necessary. OSE's current big picture strategy is to robustify the Seed Eco-Home enterprise towards free land and materials, thus retaining labor as the main expense. After free materials and land, there is automation that converts labor to R&D, as heavy investment in R&D pays off with increased effectiveness. If we can increase effectiveness via R&D, then the core of OSE's work shifts from mastery of Manual Knowledge Work to a track of R&D, embodying lifelong learning.
  • This is all within the stretch realm of a Dunbar-number of OSE Campuses worldwide, implemented as Sister Cities - each having the equivalent of 240 effective half-time workers - work-study students. In fact, only 500 of such villages are required to change the world. This is based on $100k net per house with a cost structure of an Economy of Integration - materials value capture - $25k, labor value capture $25k, profit value capture $25k and Integrated Design value capture (CAD-BOM-Build efficiency) at $25k.
    • Stretch Dunbar Number is 500 - with 'sister cities' goes down to 250 - which is a strech but manageable Dunbar Number scale for super-relational high performers.
  • Each 240 person operation is $73M net, a world class facility replicated at least 50 times, with allowance for Dunbar's number of these as a naturally manageable scale.
  • 24 person operation by 2024, 240 person ops by 2025, few replications by 2026. By 2028, there may be a chance for 500 such campuses, or it could take 2 or 3 more decades.