OSE Scaling Matrix

Time, space, extent, inent, and distribution/fractality are 5 core elements of conceptualizing growth.

Time - extend time scales, and anything can happen. Question is, how to make long time tractable to people if they have immediate needs.

Space - extend space scales. Extend the range of operation in terms of countries, or areas - as a distributed method. Make things larger - such as a larger build.

Extent - Extent is the time+space scale combined - how large to make something?

Intent - that can be embodied by commitment, clarity of vision, focus. Or scope, making the package more integrated.

Distribution - across time, space, extent, intent. If we can see this, we are golden, but collaborative literacy is a major bottleneck in achieving this.

Seed Eco-Home

To scale the Eco-Home operation. We start with a strong nucleus of intent and distribution. We conceptualize growth, per time - but if time is too short, simply expand the time taken. For space - distribute the effort to all corners of the world. Make sure people find out about this - make this a conscious effort via transformative organizations. For large spatial reach - it is important to find out who has a movement entrepreneurship mindset in a true sense, towards colloborative design. Not fake open source or collaborative - but genuine.

Case Scenarios

Earned revenue of $50k/house or unearned revenue of $25k arise from a given time duration. Perhaps 3 months. Could be as little as 1 month, or even 2 weeks in extreme cases where land and permits are already secured. The first phase is the plans stage - permits and land. Many of these can be aligned by stakeholders, who submit their package to a building department, but prior to submitting a package if they do not have land yet, they meet with the building official to check where the Seed Eco-Home can be built. For ADUs, there is more or less a captive audience.

If a normal pathway is 1 month of plan (customer acquisition, build contract, land, plans) - 1 month of build - then we have a 2 month program of which the first month is remote, and the second on site. The remote program involves a walk-through video of the land parcel under consideration, to determine site factors. The intent factor - of off-grid utilities - is a big question for waste processing facilities that can be placed on site in the form of an aquaponic, food-producing greenhouse. Complete automation of the system - with sawdust as the feedstock.

For an apprenticeship program, a good scenario is 12-24 students for 3 house builds in 3 months immersion. There are, further, different tracks - tech school, construction management, design, enteprise, machine design, and automation. It is an immersion program with 4 hours hands on, and 4 hours of school, every day. The point is an immersive experience. Others can log in to the online lectures and materials, for all the parts of a build, specific tool/technique lessons, and more. Many videos exist for this. Free online. The paid part is for the actual build training on site.

24 people participate per cohort, approx $2k-5k/mo tuition depending on the track, for a total revenue of (half tech track, half visionary track) of $84k per month for the school aspect. We are building homes for real customers, with design support for 1-2 houses per month - which select on the design track also learn. We thus have 1.5 houses done each month, for an additional $75k revenue per month and $160k total revenue per month. This constitutes a robust education opportunity, where we hire the graduates upon finishing the work.

The specific cohort mix is important. Some apprentices will go on their own after 3 months, filling orders from clients. The goal is to learn sufficient management skill to build 1 home per entrepreneuer/manager, paired with assistants. Crew depends on specifics - but perhaps 4 is ideal. For 4 people, the pay scale is $4k/mo + $8k/mo for management - $20k in labor or people that we hire. That leaves $30k revenue for OSE per build. For 4 people, that is 560 hours of house build time in one month. A small fraction may be offset by sweat equity of owner builder. The other extremes are a complete turnkey build, or a complete swarm build for a person in need. Financing like Habitat for Humanity would need to be used.

Duratuon and Quantity of Houses Built

• $480k revenue for 3 month program - 1 year of salary required. Runway from $480k with 80k expense - $400k nominal - monthly pay is $4k*12 + $8k*12=$144k monthly. Builders are contractors, and Mentorhsip people are partners., who pay us a cut later of about $50k/chaper at 5% cut of net. If contractor pay - It is really 24*4k=100k/month, thus 4 month runway worst case scenario - don't rely on this runway.
• But, we are producing a house per week ideally, with enterprise track people leading the way. So we are producing 1 house per week as baseline as we go up to speed. $200k revenue per month - and costs are $50k for builders and 100k for managers. Leaving $50k for OSE. On this schedule, 3 houses per month are minimum requirement to continue paying people.
• Thus, a one house per week scenario - with 24 people - gives us 960 hour per week - quite secure for getting it done. Ideally we double this rate. So 1 house per week is reasonable, especially if we split among 2 or more sites and take normal 2 weeks or longer.
• Potential rollout - (1) finish the build at the OSE Campus. (2) push out videos for clients pending tight control over build budget. (3) Yearly number of clients is