COVID Peak: Difference between revisions

Latest revision as of 13:51, 23 March 2020

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-=Timelines=
+#REDIRECT [[Predicted Peak of the First Outbreak of COVID-19]]
-*https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-pandemic-timeline-history-major-events-2020-3
-*https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
-=Model Curves=
-*This is fascinating - extreme lockdown results in severe cases popping up. The second half of graph shows the results when the lockdown is lifted by September (after 5 months): hell will break loose again. This graph shows a warning on the 12+ month duration that is required until a vaccine is developed.
-https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/coronavirus-projections-us/
-[[File:cases.jpeg|500px]]
-=Explanation of the Above and Summary=
-*Deaths occur about 1 month after peak cases. Peak cases for the USA are slated for May 20 (2 months), and peak deaths for June 20.
-=As of March 22, 2020=
-*UK - Happening in 3 months - [https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-peak-uk-when-what-next-how-prepare/]
-*Italy - March 23-25 - [https://www.thelocal.it/20200318/when-will-the-coronavirus-epidemic-in-italy-peak]
-*China - Peak March 13 after discovery in December. [http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-03/13/c_138871417.htm]
-*New York - 45 days from now - [https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/coronavirus-projections-us/]